Süper Lig
Fenerbahce vs 
Eyupspor Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 49.1%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 74.0% for over 7.5 to 20.0% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 50.5%. Between the two sides, Fenerbahce are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 64.4%, with a level count at 9.6%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 74.0% | 26.1% |
| 8.5 corners | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| 9.5 corners | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| 10.5 corners | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| 11.5 corners | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| 12.5 corners | 20.0% | 80.1% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
79.1%
65.6%
51.0%
53.0%
35.8%
22.1%
Corner handicap
| Fenerbahce line | Fenerbahce | Eyupspor |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| -1.5 | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| -0.5 | 64.4% | 35.6% |
| +0.5 | 74.0% | 26.0% |
This season (2026/27)
6.6Fenerbahce corners won per game3.6Fenerbahce corners conceded per game3.6Eyupspor corners won per game4.4Eyupspor corners conceded per gameThe corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Fenerbahce.
In-depth analysis
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
50.5%Over 9.5 corners65.6%Fenerbahce over 4.5 corners35.8%Eyupspor over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Fenerbahce over 4.5 corners sits at 65.6% and Eyupspor at 35.8%. This season Fenerbahce have averaged 6.6 corners won a game and Eyupspor 3.6.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 50.5% for Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor.
Which team will win the corner count in Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor?
The model rates Fenerbahce to win the corner count at 64.4%, with a level count at 9.6%.
How many corners do Fenerbahce and Eyupspor average this season?
Fenerbahce have won 6.6 corners a game this season and Eyupspor 3.6.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,762 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Süper Lig, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
