Goztep vs Rizespor prediction & probabilities (2026-09-20)

Süper Lig

Goztep vs Rizespor Both Teams to Score

2026-09-20 · 18:00
Both Teams to Score57.7%Both teams to score · Yes
Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 57.7%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
58%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 57.7%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Goztep have averaged 1.8 scored and 2.6 conceded, Rizespor 1.0 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.7% for over 2.5 and 78.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 5.4 goals a game. Goztep have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Rizespor in 1 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes57.7%

No42.3%

Over 2.5 · context54.7%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Goztep scored

1.8

Goztep conceded

2.6

Rizespor scored

1.0

Rizespor conceded

0.8

Each team to score

Goztep to score80.5%

Goztep 2+ goals48.6%

Rizespor to score71.0%

Rizespor 2+ goals35.1%

By half

Both score in 1st half19.8%

Both score in 2nd half31.6%

This season (2026/27)

80.0%Goztep BTTS rate
0.0%Goztep clean sheets
1.8Goztep goals scored per game
20.0%Rizespor BTTS rate
40.0%Rizespor clean sheets
1.0Rizespor goals scored per game

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

6.2%

0

15.1%

1

23.9%

2

22.3%

3

16.0%

4

15.5%

5+

In-depth analysis

Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. We grade every call after the match.

46.1%Favoured: Goztep
57.7%Both Teams to Score
54.7%Over 2.5 goals

For the goal environment, the model sees 54.7% for three or more goals and 78.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Goztep favoured at 46.1%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 57.7% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 54.7% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGoztep are the model’s pick on the result at 46.1%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Goztep46.1%

Draw25.5%

Rizespor28.4%

The model leans Goztep to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

GoztepDLLLD
RizesporWLWLW

Last 5 meetings: Goztep 3 · 0 draws · Rizespor 2 · 5.4 goals/game.

Recent trends

GoztepBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5
RizesporBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 1/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Goztep vs Rizespor?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 57.7% for Goztep vs Rizespor.

Will Goztep score against Rizespor?
The model rates Goztep to score at 80.5% and Rizespor to score at 71.0%.

How often have Goztep seen both teams score recently?
Goztep have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Rizespor in 1 of 5.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0232Calibration error
55,473Matches graded

In 26,677 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 58.1%✓ 57.7%✗ 52.4%✗ 50.5%✗ 50.8%✗ 51.4%✗ 50.4%✓ 57.1%✓ 53.6%✗ 50.2%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Betis vs Getafe2026-09-17No 58.1%Hit
Malaga vs Villarreal2026-09-17Yes 57.7%Hit
Ath Madrid vs Osasuna2026-09-16Yes 52.4%Miss
La Coruna vs Sevilla2026-09-16Yes 50.5%Miss
Barcelona vs Santander2026-09-16No 50.8%Miss

More Süper Lig, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.