Buyuksehyr vs Genclerbirligi prediction & probabilities (2026-09-19)

Süper Lig

Buyuksehyr vs Genclerbirligi Corners

2026-09-19 · 18:00
Corners44.3%Over 9.5 corners
Best predictionOver 9.5 corners · 44.3%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
44%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 44.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 69.4% for over 7.5 to 16.0% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 44.9%. On the corner count, Buyuksehyr are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 55.9%, with a level count at 10.7%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.

Corners

Over 8.557.2%

Over 9.544.9%

Over 10.533.5%

Over 11.523.8%

Total corners, every line

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 69.4% 30.6%
8.5 corners 57.2% 42.8%
9.5 corners 44.9% 55.1%
10.5 corners 33.5% 66.5%
11.5 corners 23.8% 76.3%
12.5 corners 16.0% 84.0%

Who wins the corner count

★ ModelBuyuksehyr55.9%

Level10.7%

Genclerbirligi33.4%

Team corner lines

Buyuksehyr over 3.5

72.0%

Buyuksehyr over 4.5

56.5%

Buyuksehyr over 5.5

41.2%

Genclerbirligi over 3.5

56.4%

Genclerbirligi over 4.5

39.2%

Genclerbirligi over 5.5

25.0%

Corner handicap

Buyuksehyr line Buyuksehyr Genclerbirligi
-3.5 24.7% 75.3%
-1.5 44.8% 55.2%
-0.5 55.9% 44.1%
+0.5 66.6% 33.4%

This season (2026/27)

4.6Buyuksehyr corners won per game
3.6Buyuksehyr corners conceded per game
4.0Genclerbirligi corners won per game
7.6Genclerbirligi corners conceded per game

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Buyuksehyr.

In-depth analysis

44.9%Over 9.5 corners
55.9%Most corners: Buyuksehyr
56.5%Buyuksehyr over 4.5 corners
39.2%Genclerbirligi over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

For the team lines, Buyuksehyr over 4.5 corners sits at 56.5% and Genclerbirligi at 39.2%. This season Buyuksehyr have averaged 4.6 corners won a game and Genclerbirligi 4.0.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 44.3% on Corners, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The Territory ReaderBuyuksehyr are the pick to win the corner count at 55.9%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 44.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.

FAQ

How many corners in Buyuksehyr vs Genclerbirligi?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 44.9% for Buyuksehyr vs Genclerbirligi.

Which team will win the corner count in Buyuksehyr vs Genclerbirligi?
The model rates Buyuksehyr to win the corner count at 55.9%, with a level count at 10.7%.

How many corners do Buyuksehyr and Genclerbirligi average this season?
Buyuksehyr have won 4.6 corners a game this season and Genclerbirligi 4.0.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0098Calibration error
50,316Matches graded

In 21,621 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 20 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 53.3%✗ 54.7%✗ 50.4%✓ 51.7%✓ 51.8%✗ 51.3%✗ 50.4%✓ 52.3%✓ 52.8%✓ 53.7%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Betis vs Getafe2026-09-17Under 9.5 53.3%Hit
Malaga vs Villarreal2026-09-17Under 9.5 54.7%Miss
Ath Madrid vs Osasuna2026-09-16Over 9.5 50.4%Miss
La Coruna vs Sevilla2026-09-16Under 9.5 51.7%Hit
Barcelona vs Santander2026-09-16Over 9.5 51.8%Hit

More Süper Lig, Corners

All Corners predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.