La Liga
VillarrealVillarrealWLDWL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1117:30UK19°C · Rain
GetafeGetafeWLDLW

Villarreal vs Getafe xG stats

Recent xG created per game, from recorded matches.

Villarreal2.25

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Getafe0.75

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

Villarreal have created 2.25 xG and scored 1.33 per game over their last 6, scoring below their xG. Getafe have created 0.75 xG and scored 0.83 per game over their last 6, tracking their xG closely.

Real Understat xG, recent games only (the five leagues we cover for xG). xG measures chance quality, not a tip.

VillarrealVillarreal

Recent xG per game

Recorded recent matches.

GetafeGetafe
Statistic
Villarreal
Getafe
Matches in sample
6
6
xG created per game
2.25
0.75

xG conceded per game
0.77
1.65

Bar scales · xG per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

VillarrealVillarrealLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

GetafeGetafeLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-3
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-4
W
Win · 3-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2VillarrealVillarreal wins
2Draws
1GetafeGetafe wins
2.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
GetafeGetafe
2 – 1
VillarrealVillarreal
VillarrealVillarreal
2 – 0
GetafeGetafe
GetafeGetafe
1 – 2
VillarrealVillarreal
VillarrealVillarreal
1 – 1
GetafeGetafe
VillarrealVillarreal
1 – 1
GetafeGetafe

Match outlook

PickVillarreal64.0%
Draw22.9%
Getafe13.1%

The model leans Villarreal to win.

See the full prediction

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Expected Goals (xG)-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0102Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,177Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

In-depth analysis

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

64.0%Favoured: Villarreal
44.1%Both Teams to Score
44.9%Over 2.5 goals

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

VillarrealVillarreal (1)
Georges Mikautadze
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
30.5%
3.28
1+ shot on target
60.0%
1.67
2+ shots
57.4%
1.74
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.18
On target1.51
Goals0.60
GetafeGetafe (1)
Enes Ünal
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
10.9%
9.17
1+ shot on target
24.4%
4.10
2+ shots
25.6%
3.91
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.57
On target1.02
Goals0.42

FAQ

How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More La Liga, Expected Goals (xG)

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.