La Liga
EspanolEspanolLDLLW
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1115:15UK15°C · Rain
La CorunaLa CorunaLDLDL

Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna xG stats

Recent xG created per game, from recorded matches.

Espanol0.87

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

La Coruna1.52

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

Espanol have created 0.87 xG and scored 0.83 per game over their last 6, tracking their xG closely. La Coruna have created 1.52 xG and scored 0.83 per game over their last 6, scoring below their xG.

Real Understat xG, recent games only (the five leagues we cover for xG). xG measures chance quality, not a tip.

EspanolEspanol

Recent xG per game

Recorded recent matches.

La CorunaLa Coruna
Statistic
Espanol
La Coruna
Matches in sample
6
6
xG created per game
0.87
1.52

xG conceded per game
1.50
1.16

Bar scales · xG per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

EspanolEspanolLast 5
L
Loss · 1-3
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 1-0

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

La CorunaLa CorunaLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 2-3
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-1

0 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3EspanolEspanol wins
2Draws
0La CorunaLa Coruna wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
La CorunaLa Coruna
0 – 0
EspanolEspanol
EspanolEspanol
4 – 1
La CorunaLa Coruna
La CorunaLa Coruna
1 – 2
EspanolEspanol
EspanolEspanol
1 – 1
La CorunaLa Coruna
EspanolEspanol
1 – 0
La CorunaLa Coruna

Match outlook

PickEspanol53.5%
Draw25.5%
La Coruna20.9%

The model leans Espanol to win.

See the full prediction

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Expected Goals (xG)-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0102Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,177Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

In-depth analysis

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

53.5%Favoured: Espanol
50.8%Both Teams to Score
48.1%Over 2.5 goals

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

EspanolEspanol (1)
Pere Milla
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
17.6%
5.68
1+ shot on target
38.1%
2.62
2+ shots
38.3%
2.61
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.74
On target0.99
Goals0.40
La CorunaLa Coruna (1)
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
34.4%
2.91
1+ shot on target
69.4%
1.44
2+ shots
62.2%
1.61
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.65
On target1.49
Goals0.53

FAQ

How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More La Liga, Expected Goals (xG)

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.