ChampionshipPortsmouth vs Blackburn Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 57.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 80.7% for over 7.5 to 27.0% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.8%. On the corner count, Portsmouth are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 56.6%, with a level count at 10.1%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 80.7% | 19.3% |
| 8.5 corners | 70.8% | 29.3% |
| 9.5 corners | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| 10.5 corners | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| 11.5 corners | 36.7% | 63.3% |
| 12.5 corners | 27.0% | 73.0% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
79.7%
66.0%
51.2%
65.8%
48.9%
33.5%
Corner handicap
| Portsmouth line | Portsmouth | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| -1.5 | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| -0.5 | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| +0.5 | 66.7% | 33.3% |
This season (2026/27)
6.7Portsmouth corners won per game5.0Portsmouth corners conceded per game5.9Blackburn corners won per game4.4Blackburn corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Portsmouth.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
59.5%Over 9.5 corners66.0%Portsmouth over 4.5 corners48.9%Blackburn over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Portsmouth over 4.5 corners sits at 66.0% and Blackburn at 48.9%. This season Portsmouth have averaged 6.7 corners won a game and Blackburn 5.9.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 59.5% for Portsmouth vs Blackburn.
Which team will win the corner count in Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
The model rates Portsmouth to win the corner count at 56.6%, with a level count at 10.1%.
How many corners do Portsmouth and Blackburn average this season?
Portsmouth have won 6.7 corners a game this season and Blackburn 5.9.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 23,762 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Championship, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
