Portsmouth vs Blackburn prediction & probabilities (2026-09-19)

Championship

Portsmouth vs Blackburn Both Teams to Score

2026-09-19 · 15:00
Both Teams to Score53.4%Both teams to score · No
Best predictionBoth teams to score · No · 53.4%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
53%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 53.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Portsmouth have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded, Blackburn 1.2 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 39.8% for over 2.5 and 67.1% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 2.3 goals a game. Portsmouth have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Blackburn in 4 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Both Teams to Score

Yes46.6%

★ ModelNo53.4%

Over 2.5 · context39.8%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Portsmouth scored

1.2

Portsmouth conceded

1.0

Blackburn scored

1.2

Blackburn conceded

1.4

Each team to score

Portsmouth to score71.1%

Portsmouth 2+ goals35.2%

Blackburn to score64.6%

Blackburn 2+ goals27.8%

By half

Both score in 1st half16.2%

Both score in 2nd half21.3%

This season (2026/27)

42.9%Portsmouth BTTS rate
42.9%Portsmouth clean sheets
1.0Portsmouth goals scored per game
85.7%Blackburn BTTS rate
14.3%Blackburn clean sheets
1.4Blackburn goals scored per game

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

10.9%

0

22.0%

1

27.3%

2

20.2%

3

11.5%

4

7.9%

5+

In-depth analysis

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

40.2%Favoured: Portsmouth
46.6%Both Teams to Score
39.8%Over 2.5 goals

Looking at totals, the model sees 39.8% for three or more goals and 67.1% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Portsmouth favoured at 40.2%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 53.4% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 39.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutPortsmouth are the model’s pick on the result at 40.2%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Portsmouth40.2%

Draw29.7%

Blackburn30.2%

The model leans Portsmouth to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

PortsmouthWLLWD
BlackburnLDLLW

Last 4 meetings: Portsmouth 2 · 1 draws · Blackburn 1 · 2.3 goals/game.

Recent trends

PortsmouthBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5
BlackburnBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 46.6% for Portsmouth vs Blackburn.

Will Portsmouth score against Blackburn?
The model rates Portsmouth to score at 71.1% and Blackburn to score at 64.6%.

How often have Portsmouth seen both teams score recently?
Portsmouth have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Blackburn in 4 of 5.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0232Calibration error
55,473Matches graded

In 20,276 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 58.1%✓ 57.7%✗ 52.4%✗ 50.5%✗ 50.8%✗ 51.4%✗ 50.4%✓ 57.1%✓ 53.6%✗ 50.2%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Betis vs Getafe2026-09-17No 58.1%Hit
Malaga vs Villarreal2026-09-17Yes 57.7%Hit
Ath Madrid vs Osasuna2026-09-16Yes 52.4%Miss
La Coruna vs Sevilla2026-09-16Yes 50.5%Miss
Barcelona vs Santander2026-09-16No 50.8%Miss

More Championship, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.