ChampionshipStoke vs 
Sheffield United Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 57.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 80.6% for over 7.5 to 26.9% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.7%. Head to head on corners, Stoke are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 58.5%, with a level count at 10.0%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 80.6% | 19.4% |
| 8.5 corners | 70.7% | 29.3% |
| 9.5 corners | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| 10.5 corners | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| 11.5 corners | 36.6% | 63.4% |
| 12.5 corners | 26.9% | 73.1% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
80.5%
67.2%
52.5%
64.3%
47.3%
31.9%
Corner handicap
| Stoke line | Stoke | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 28.2% | 71.8% |
| -1.5 | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| -0.5 | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| +0.5 | 68.5% | 31.5% |
This season (2026/27)
4.0Stoke corners won per game5.1Stoke corners conceded per game3.1Sheffield United corners won per game7.4Sheffield United corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Stoke.
In-depth analysis
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
59.4%Over 9.5 corners67.2%Stoke over 4.5 corners47.3%Sheffield United over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalFor the team lines, Stoke over 4.5 corners sits at 67.2% and Sheffield United at 47.3%. This season Stoke have averaged 4.0 corners won a game and Sheffield United 3.1.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Stoke vs Sheffield United?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 59.4% for Stoke vs Sheffield United.
Which team will win the corner count in Stoke vs Sheffield United?
The model rates Stoke to win the corner count at 58.5%, with a level count at 10.0%.
How many corners do Stoke and Sheffield United average this season?
Stoke have won 4.0 corners a game this season and Sheffield United 3.1.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,762 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 18 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Championship, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
