ChampionshipMillwall vs 
West Ham Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 57.2%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 80.4% for over 7.5 to 26.7% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.5%. Head to head on corners, Millwall are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.8%, with a level count at 10.3%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 80.4% | 19.6% |
| 8.5 corners | 70.5% | 29.5% |
| 9.5 corners | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| 10.5 corners | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| 11.5 corners | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| 12.5 corners | 26.7% | 73.3% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
78.2%
64.0%
48.9%
67.6%
50.9%
35.4%
Corner handicap
| Millwall line | Millwall | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 43.2% | 56.8% |
| -0.5 | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| +0.5 | 64.1% | 35.9% |
| +1.5 | 73.5% | 26.5% |
This season (2026/27)
4.6Millwall corners won per game6.9Millwall corners conceded per game6.0West Ham corners won per game5.0West Ham corners conceded per gameCorner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Millwall.
In-depth analysis
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. We grade every call after the match.
59.2%Over 9.5 corners64.0%Millwall over 4.5 corners50.9%West Ham over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalFor the team lines, Millwall over 4.5 corners sits at 64.0% and West Ham at 50.9%. This season Millwall have averaged 4.6 corners won a game and West Ham 6.0.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Millwall vs West Ham?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 59.2% for Millwall vs West Ham.
Which team will win the corner count in Millwall vs West Ham?
The model rates Millwall to win the corner count at 53.8%, with a level count at 10.3%.
How many corners do Millwall and West Ham average this season?
Millwall have won 4.6 corners a game this season and West Ham 6.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,762 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 18 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Championship, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
