AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Serie A
MilanMilanDWDWW
Wed, 28 Oct 202628/1017:30UK
BolognaBolognaLDWLW

AC Milan vs Bologna corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined62.5%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined37.5%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners37.5%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Milan.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 60.0% 40.0%
8.5 corners 48.4% 51.6%
9.5 corners 37.5% 62.5%
10.5 corners 27.9% 72.1%
11.5 corners 20.0% 80.0%
12.5 corners 13.9% 86.1%

Who wins the corner count

Milan
54.2%
Level
10.7%
Bologna
35.2%

Team corners lines

Milan

Over 3.5
64.3%
Over 4.5
49.2%
Over 5.5
35.6%

Bologna

Over 3.5
50.5%
Over 4.5
34.8%
Over 5.5
22.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Milan's; Bologna gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Milan line Milan Bologna
-1.5 43.3% 56.7%
-0.5 54.2% 45.8%
+0.5 64.8% 35.2%
+1.5 74.4% 25.6%
MilanMilan

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Milan at home and Bologna away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

BolognaBologna
Statistic
Milan
Bologna
Corners won per game at this venue
2.0
2.8

Corners conceded per game at this venue
2.7
5.5

First-half corners won per game
1.6
1.6

Second-half corners won per game
1.4
2.4

Matches with more corners than the opponent
42.9%
50.0%

Matches with corner data
7
8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 3,460 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 37.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 60.0% for over 7.5 to 13.9% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.4%. On the corner count, Milan are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.2%, with a level count at 10.7%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Milan over 4.5 corners sits at 49.2% and Bologna at 34.8%. This season Milan have averaged 3.0 corners won a game and Bologna 4.0.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

37.5%Over 9.5 corners
54.2%Most corners: Milan
49.2%Milan over 4.5 corners
34.8%Bologna over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 37.5% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderMilan are the pick to win the corner count at 54.2%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 48.4%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 8.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
MilanMilan

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

BolognaBologna
Statistic
Milan
Bologna
corners won per game
3.0
4.0

corners conceded per game
3.1
5.9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Milan vs Bologna?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 37.5% for Milan vs Bologna.
Which team will win the corner count in Milan vs Bologna?
The model rates Milan to win the corner count at 54.2%, with a level count at 10.7%.
How many corners do Milan and Bologna average this season?
Milan have won 3.0 corners a game this season and Bologna 4.0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Serie AAC Milan fixtures and statsBologna fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.