AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Serie A
ParmaParmaLWLLL
Wed, 28 Oct 202628/1017:30UK15°C · Cloudy
UdineseUdineseLLLLL

Parma vs Udinese corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined59.7%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined40.3%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners40.3%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Parma.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 62.7% 37.3%
8.5 corners 51.3% 48.7%
9.5 corners 40.3% 59.7%
10.5 corners 30.5% 69.5%
11.5 corners 22.3% 77.8%
12.5 corners 15.7% 84.3%

Who wins the corner count

Parma
54.1%
Level
10.4%
Udinese
35.5%

Team corners lines

Parma

Over 3.5
65.8%
Over 4.5
51.0%
Over 5.5
37.4%

Udinese

Over 3.5
52.6%
Over 4.5
36.9%
Over 5.5
24.3%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Parma's; Udinese gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Parma line Parma Udinese
-1.5 43.5% 56.6%
-0.5 54.1% 45.9%
+0.5 64.5% 35.5%
+1.5 74.0% 26.0%
ParmaParma

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Parma at home and Udinese away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

UdineseUdinese
Statistic
Parma
Udinese
Corners won per game at this venue
4.3
2.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
3.0
5.7

First-half corners won per game
1.6
1.9

Second-half corners won per game
1.8
2.0

Matches with more corners than the opponent
37.5%
14.3%

Matches with corner data
8
7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 40.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 62.7% for over 7.5 to 15.7% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 51.3%. Head to head on corners, Parma are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.1%, with a level count at 10.4%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Parma over 4.5 corners sits at 51.0% and Udinese at 36.9%. This season Parma have averaged 3.4 corners won a game and Udinese 3.9.

40.3%Over 9.5 corners
54.1%Most corners: Parma
51.0%Parma over 4.5 corners
36.9%Udinese over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 40.3% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderParma are the pick to win the corner count at 54.1%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 51.3%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 8.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
ParmaParma

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

UdineseUdinese
Statistic
Parma
Udinese
corners won per game
3.4
3.9

corners conceded per game
5.5
5.7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Parma vs Udinese?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 40.3% for Parma vs Udinese.
Which team will win the corner count in Parma vs Udinese?
The model rates Parma to win the corner count at 54.1%, with a level count at 10.4%.
How many corners do Parma and Udinese average this season?
Parma have won 3.4 corners a game this season and Udinese 3.9.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Serie AParma fixtures and statsUdinese fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.