Serie A
SassuoloSassuoloLDLLL
Mon, 2 Nov 20262/1117:30UK12°C · Cloudy
FiorentinaFiorentinaWDLLL

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes60.2%
Both teams to score: No39.8%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes60.2%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean60.2%
No39.8%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 56.8%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Sassuolo scored
1.2
Sassuolo conceded
3.0
Fiorentina scored
1.6
Fiorentina conceded
2.0

Each team to score

Sassuolo to score77.4%
Sassuolo 2+ goals43.9%
Fiorentina to score77.0%
Fiorentina 2+ goals43.1%

By half

Both score in 1st half19.8%
Both score in 2nd half32.5%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.8%

0

14.2%

1

23.2%

2

22.3%

3

16.5%

4

17.0%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

SassuoloBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5
FiorentinaBTTS 5/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

SassuoloSassuoloLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 2-4
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 2-6

0 wins · 1 draw · 4 losses

FiorentinaFiorentinaLast 5
W
Win · 4-2
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2SassuoloSassuolo wins
1Draws
2FiorentinaFiorentina wins
3.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
FiorentinaFiorentina
0 – 0
SassuoloSassuolo
SassuoloSassuolo
3 – 1
FiorentinaFiorentina
FiorentinaFiorentina
5 – 1
SassuoloSassuolo
SassuoloSassuolo
1 – 0
FiorentinaFiorentina
SassuoloSassuolo
1 – 3
FiorentinaFiorentina

Match outlook

PickSassuolo38.0%
Draw24.0%
Fiorentina38.0%

The model leans Sassuolo to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 60.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Sassuolo have averaged 1.2 scored and 3.0 conceded, Fiorentina 1.6 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 56.8% for over 2.5 and 80.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. Sassuolo have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Fiorentina in 5 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 56.8% for three or more goals and 80.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Sassuolo favoured at 38.0%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

38.0%Favoured: Sassuolo
60.2%Both Teams to Score
56.8%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 60.2% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 56.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSassuolo are the model’s pick on the result at 38.0%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
SassuoloSassuolo

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

FiorentinaFiorentina
Statistic
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
BTTS rate
88.9%
75.0%

clean sheets
0.0%
0.0%

goals scored per game
1.6
1.1

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

SassuoloSassuolo (1)
Vasilije Adzic
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
16.7%
5.99
1+ shot on target
33.5%
2.99
2+ shots
19.8%
5.05
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.01
On target1.50
Goals0.67
FiorentinaFiorentina (1)
Moise Kean
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
35.4%
2.82
1+ shot on target
72.3%
1.38
2+ shots
83.2%
1.20
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.69
On target1.47
Goals0.50

FAQ

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 60.2% for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina.
Will Sassuolo score against Fiorentina?
The model rates Sassuolo to score at 77.4% and Fiorentina to score at 77.0%.
How often have Sassuolo seen both teams score recently?
Sassuolo have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Fiorentina in 5 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Serie A, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.