Serie A
MilanMilanDWDWW
Wed, 28 Oct 202628/1017:30UK
BolognaBolognaLDWLW

AC Milan vs Bologna both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No50.6%
Both teams to score: Yes49.4%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No50.6%

Both Teams to Score

Yes49.4%
NoModel lean50.6%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 44.9%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Milan scored
2.2
Milan conceded
1.0
Bologna scored
1.2
Bologna conceded
1.2

Each team to score

Milan to score76.8%
Milan 2+ goals43.0%
Bologna to score63.5%
Bologna 2+ goals26.8%

By half

Both score in 1st half11.8%
Both score in 2nd half29.3%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.1%

0

19.6%

1

26.4%

2

21.2%

3

13.2%

4

10.1%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

MilanBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5
BolognaBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

MilanMilanLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 3-0
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 2-0

3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses

BolognaBolognaLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 2-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3MilanMilan wins
1Draws
1BolognaBologna wins
3.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
BolognaBologna
0 – 3
MilanMilan
MilanMilan
1 – 0
BolognaBologna
MilanMilan
3 – 1
BolognaBologna
BolognaBologna
2 – 1
MilanMilan
MilanMilan
2 – 2
BolognaBologna

Match outlook

PickMilan48.3%
Draw27.6%
Bologna24.2%

The model leans Milan to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 26,175 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 50.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Milan have averaged 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded, Bologna 1.2 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 44.9% for over 2.5 and 71.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. Milan have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Bologna in 3 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 44.9% for three or more goals and 71.3% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Milan favoured at 48.3%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

48.3%Favoured: Milan
49.4%Both Teams to Score
44.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 50.6% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 44.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutMilan are the model’s pick on the result at 48.3%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
MilanMilan

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

BolognaBologna
Statistic
Milan
Bologna
BTTS rate
62.5%
50.0%

clean sheets
37.5%
12.5%

goals scored per game
2.0
1.0

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

MilanMilan (1)
Gonçalo Ramos
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
26.2%
3.82
1+ shot on target
67.8%
1.47
2+ shots
67.8%
1.47
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.09
On target1.98
Goals0.53
BolognaBologna (1)
Riccardo Orsolini
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
32.3%
3.10
1+ shot on target
58.3%
1.72
2+ shots
65.6%
1.52
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.34
On target1.30
Goals0.58

FAQ

Will both teams score in Milan vs Bologna?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 49.4% for Milan vs Bologna.
Will Milan score against Bologna?
The model rates Milan to score at 76.8% and Bologna to score at 63.5%.
How often have Milan seen both teams score recently?
Milan have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Bologna in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Serie A, Both Teams to Score

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.