Serie A
MonzaMonzaLWLWL
Wed, 28 Oct 202628/1019:45UK13°C · Cloudy
NapoliNapoliWDWLD

Monza vs Napoli both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No51%
Both teams to score: Yes49%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No51.0%

Both Teams to Score

Yes49.0%
NoModel lean51.0%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 48.4%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Monza scored
2.2
Monza conceded
2.0
Napoli scored
1.6
Napoli conceded
1.0

Each team to score

Monza to score59.0%
Monza 2+ goals22.4%
Napoli to score82.0%
Napoli 2+ goals51.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half21.3%
Both score in 2nd half34.6%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.9%

0

18.1%

1

25.6%

2

21.8%

3

14.2%

4

11.5%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

MonzaBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 5/5
NapoliBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

MonzaMonzaLast 5
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 4-0
L
Loss · 2-3

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

NapoliNapoliLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 3-3

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1MonzaMonza wins
1Draws
3NapoliNapoli wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
MonzaMonza
0 – 1
NapoliNapoli
NapoliNapoli
2 – 0
MonzaMonza
MonzaMonza
2 – 4
NapoliNapoli
NapoliNapoli
0 – 0
MonzaMonza
MonzaMonza
2 – 0
NapoliNapoli

Match outlook

Monza17.5%
Draw24.7%
PickNapoli57.8%

The model leans Napoli to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 26,174 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · No at 51.0%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Monza have averaged 2.2 scored and 2.0 conceded, Napoli 1.6 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 48.4% for over 2.5 and 74.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. Monza have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Napoli in 2 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 48.4% for three or more goals and 74.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Napoli favoured at 57.8%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

57.8%Favoured: Napoli
49.0%Both Teams to Score
48.4%Over 2.5 goals

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 51.0% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 48.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutNapoli are the model’s pick on the result at 57.8%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
MonzaMonza

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

NapoliNapoli
Statistic
Monza
Napoli
BTTS rate
87.5%
50.0%

clean sheets
12.5%
37.5%

goals scored per game
1.9
1.6

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

MonzaMonza (1)
Jay Robinson
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
18.2%
5.49
1+ shot on target
50.4%
1.98
2+ shots
30.0%
3.33
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots1.86
On target1.19
Goals0.34
NapoliNapoli (1)
Alisson Santos
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
19.8%
5.05
1+ shot on target
65.2%
1.53
2+ shots
68.9%
1.45
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.69
On target1.63
Goals0.34

FAQ

Will both teams score in Monza vs Napoli?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 49.0% for Monza vs Napoli.
Will Monza score against Napoli?
The model rates Monza to score at 59.0% and Napoli to score at 82.0%.
How often have Monza seen both teams score recently?
Monza have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Napoli in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Serie A, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.