Ligue 1
Rennes vs 
Auxerre Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 50.1%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 74.7% for over 7.5 to 20.7% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 51.5%. Head to head on corners, Rennes are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.1%, with a level count at 10.5%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 74.7% | 25.3% |
| 8.5 corners | 63.4% | 36.6% |
| 9.5 corners | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 10.5 corners | 39.8% | 60.2% |
| 11.5 corners | 29.3% | 70.7% |
| 12.5 corners | 20.7% | 79.4% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
74.3%
59.3%
44.2%
62.1%
45.1%
30.2%
Corner handicap
| Rennes line | Rennes | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| -0.5 | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| +0.5 | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| +1.5 | 74.2% | 25.9% |
This season (2026/27)
5.0Rennes corners won per game7.2Rennes corners conceded per game6.0Auxerre corners won per game6.8Auxerre corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Rennes.
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
51.5%Over 9.5 corners59.3%Rennes over 4.5 corners45.1%Auxerre over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalFor the team lines, Rennes over 4.5 corners sits at 59.3% and Auxerre at 45.1%. This season Rennes have averaged 5.0 corners won a game and Auxerre 6.0.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Rennes vs Auxerre?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 51.5% for Rennes vs Auxerre.
Which team will win the corner count in Rennes vs Auxerre?
The model rates Rennes to win the corner count at 54.1%, with a level count at 10.5%.
How many corners do Rennes and Auxerre average this season?
Rennes have won 5.0 corners a game this season and Auxerre 6.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 23,827 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Ligue 1, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
