Süper LigIstanbul Basaksehir vs 
Genclerbirligi Corners
Result
Settled, final score 4-0. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 45.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 70.7% for over 7.5 to 17.1% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.5%. Between the two sides, Istanbul Basaksehir are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 56.0%, with a level count at 10.6%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 70.7% | 29.3% |
| 8.5 corners | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| 9.5 corners | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| 10.5 corners | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| 11.5 corners | 25.1% | 74.9% |
| 12.5 corners | 17.1% | 82.9% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
72.8%
57.5%
42.3%
57.4%
40.2%
25.9%
Corner handicap
| Istanbul Basaksehir line | Istanbul Basaksehir | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 25.1% | 75.0% |
| -1.5 | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| -0.5 | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| +0.5 | 66.6% | 33.4% |
This season (2026/27)
4.0Genclerbirligi corners won per game7.6Genclerbirligi corners conceded per gameThe corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Istanbul Basaksehir.
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
46.5%Over 9.5 corners57.5%Istanbul Basaksehir over 4.5 corners40.2%Genclerbirligi over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalFor the team lines, Istanbul Basaksehir over 4.5 corners sits at 57.5% and Genclerbirligi at 40.2%.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 46.5% for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi.
Which team will win the corner count in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi?
Before kickoff, the model rated Istanbul Basaksehir to win the corner count at 56.0%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,686 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Süper Lig, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
