Süper Lig
Galatasaray vs 
Kasimpasa Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 47.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 72.0% for over 7.5 to 18.2% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.1%. Head to head on corners, Galatasaray are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 63.3%, with a level count at 9.8%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| 8.5 corners | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| 9.5 corners | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| 10.5 corners | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| 11.5 corners | 26.4% | 73.6% |
| 12.5 corners | 18.2% | 81.8% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
77.5%
63.4%
48.6%
52.4%
35.2%
21.6%
Corner handicap
| Galatasaray line | Galatasaray | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| -1.5 | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| -0.5 | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| +0.5 | 73.1% | 26.9% |
This season (2026/27)
7.4Galatasaray corners won per game2.8Galatasaray corners conceded per game3.4Kasimpasa corners won per game7.8Kasimpasa corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Galatasaray.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
48.1%Over 9.5 corners63.4%Galatasaray over 4.5 corners35.2%Kasimpasa over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Galatasaray over 4.5 corners sits at 63.4% and Kasimpasa at 35.2%. This season Galatasaray have averaged 7.4 corners won a game and Kasimpasa 3.4.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 48.1% for Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa.
Which team will win the corner count in Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?
The model rates Galatasaray to win the corner count at 63.3%, with a level count at 9.8%.
How many corners do Galatasaray and Kasimpasa average this season?
Galatasaray have won 7.4 corners a game this season and Kasimpasa 3.4.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,621 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Süper Lig, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
