Süper Lig
Genclerbirligi vs 
Amedspor Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 48.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 73.5% for over 7.5 to 19.5% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.9%. Between the two sides, Genclerbirligi are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 46.9%, with a level count at 10.8%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 73.5% | 26.5% |
| 8.5 corners | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| 9.5 corners | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| 10.5 corners | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| 11.5 corners | 28.0% | 72.0% |
| 12.5 corners | 19.5% | 80.5% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
69.2%
53.2%
37.9%
66.1%
49.6%
34.5%
Corner handicap
| Genclerbirligi line | Genclerbirligi | Amedspor |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| -0.5 | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| +0.5 | 57.7% | 42.3% |
| +1.5 | 67.9% | 32.1% |
This season (2026/27)
4.0Genclerbirligi corners won per game7.6Genclerbirligi corners conceded per game5.0Amedspor corners won per game3.4Amedspor corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Genclerbirligi.
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
49.9%Over 9.5 corners53.2%Genclerbirligi over 4.5 corners49.6%Amedspor over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Genclerbirligi over 4.5 corners sits at 53.2% and Amedspor at 49.6%. This season Genclerbirligi have averaged 4.0 corners won a game and Amedspor 5.0.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Genclerbirligi vs Amedspor?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 49.9% for Genclerbirligi vs Amedspor.
Which team will win the corner count in Genclerbirligi vs Amedspor?
The model rates Genclerbirligi to win the corner count at 46.9%, with a level count at 10.8%.
How many corners do Genclerbirligi and Amedspor average this season?
Genclerbirligi have won 4.0 corners a game this season and Amedspor 5.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,621 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Süper Lig, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
