Premier League
Hull vs 
Everton Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 50.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 75.0% for over 7.5 to 22.0% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 52.4%. Between the two sides, Hull are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.0%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| 8.5 corners | 64.1% | 35.9% |
| 9.5 corners | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| 10.5 corners | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| 11.5 corners | 30.7% | 69.3% |
| 12.5 corners | 22.0% | 78.0% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
73.1%
58.5%
43.9%
62.8%
46.5%
32.1%
Corner handicap
| Hull line | Hull | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| -0.5 | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| +0.5 | 62.8% | 37.2% |
| +1.5 | 72.0% | 28.0% |
This season (2026/27)
3.4Hull corners won per game6.0Hull corners conceded per game5.0Everton corners won per game4.4Everton corners conceded per gameCorner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Hull.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
52.4%Over 9.5 corners58.5%Hull over 4.5 corners46.5%Everton over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalFor the team lines, Hull over 4.5 corners sits at 58.5% and Everton at 46.5%. This season Hull have averaged 3.4 corners won a game and Everton 5.0.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Hull vs Everton?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 52.4% for Hull vs Everton.
Which team will win the corner count in Hull vs Everton?
The model rates Hull to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.0%.
How many corners do Hull and Everton average this season?
Hull have won 3.4 corners a game this season and Everton 5.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 23,827 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Premier League, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
