AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Eredivisie
FeyenoordFeyenoordWWWWD
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1015:30UK
For SittardFor SittardLWDDW

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined62.2%
Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined37.8%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 3.5 cards37.8%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Feyenoord vs For Sittard. Slightly more cards are projected for For Sittard for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 60.1% 39.9%
3.5 cards 37.8% 62.2%
4.5 cards 20.5% 79.6%
5.5 cards 9.6% 90.4%

Who picks up more cards

Feyenoord
25.6%
Level
22.6%
For Sittard
51.7%

Team cards lines

Feyenoord

Over 1.5
35.5%
Over 2.5
13.2%

For Sittard

Over 1.5
55.5%
Over 2.5
28.7%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Feyenoord's; For Sittard gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Feyenoord line Feyenoord For Sittard
-1.5 10.6% 89.4%
-0.5 25.6% 74.4%
+0.5 48.3% 51.7%
+1.5 70.7% 29.3%

Red card

Any red card16.7%
Feyenoord red card2.7%
For Sittard red card14.4%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 60.8% 39.3%
22.5 fouls 45.5% 54.5%
24.5 fouls 31.3% 68.7%

Recent referees

The referees each side has met most this season, with cards per game overall and for that team. This history does not establish who officiates this match. The main match page shows a saved match referee when available.

Team Referee Games Cards/g Team cards/g
Feyenoord D. Makkelie 2 2.5 1.0
Feyenoord J. Kooij 2 2.0 1.0
For Sittard A. Bos 2 2.0 1.5
For Sittard Ingmar Oostrom 2 3.5 3.0

Swipe to see all referee stats →

FeyenoordFeyenoord

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Feyenoord at home and For Sittard away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

For SittardFor Sittard
Statistic
Feyenoord
For Sittard
Yellow cards per game
1.6
1.5

First-half yellow cards per game
0.6
0.6

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.0
0.9

Matches with card data
4
4

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 7,352 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Cards actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 3.5 cards at 37.8%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Line by line, the read runs from 60.1% for over 2.5 to 9.6% for over 5.5, with over 2.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 60.1%. Between the two sides, For Sittard are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 51.7%, with a level count at 22.6%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Feyenoord over 1.5 cards sits at 35.5% and For Sittard at 55.5%. A red card for either side is rated at 16.7% (Feyenoord 2.7%, For Sittard 14.4%). Feyenoord’s most frequent referee this season, D. Makkelie, has averaged 2.5 cards a game across 2 of their matches; the appointment for this game is not known before kickoff.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

37.8%Over 3.5 cards
16.7%Any red card
51.7%Most cards: For Sittard
35.5%Feyenoord over 1.5 cards
55.5%For Sittard over 1.5 cards
45.5%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 37.8% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Referee WatcherD. Makkelie, Feyenoord’s most frequent referee this season, averages 2.5 cards a game. These historical averages do not identify this match’s referee.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 16.7%, a low-probability event, but one that reshapes every line when it lands.
The DisciplinarianFor Sittard are the pick to collect more cards at 51.7%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
FeyenoordFeyenoord

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

For SittardFor Sittard
Statistic
Feyenoord
For Sittard
fouls per game
9.1
9.7

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Feyenoord vs For Sittard?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 37.8% for Feyenoord vs For Sittard.
Will there be a red card in Feyenoord vs For Sittard?
The model rates a red card for either side at 16.7%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Feyenoord vs For Sittard?
The model rates For Sittard to pick up more cards at 51.7%, with a level count at 22.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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EredivisieFeyenoord fixtures and statsFortuna Sittard fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.