AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 1 Nov 2026

Bundesliga
FC KolnFC KolnDLWLD
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1114:30UK8°C · Cloudy
LeverkusenLeverkusenWWWLL

FC Koln vs Leverkusen corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined53.3%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined46.8%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners53.3%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for FC Koln.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 76.2% 23.8%
8.5 corners 65.2% 34.8%
9.5 corners 53.3% 46.8%
10.5 corners 41.5% 58.5%
11.5 corners 30.8% 69.2%
12.5 corners 21.8% 78.2%

Who wins the corner count

FC Koln
52.8%
Level
10.6%
Leverkusen
36.6%

Team corners lines

FC Koln

Over 3.5
74.7%
Over 4.5
59.7%
Over 5.5
44.3%

Leverkusen

Over 3.5
64.4%
Over 4.5
47.4%
Over 5.5
32.2%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is FC Koln's; Leverkusen gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

FC Koln line FC Koln Leverkusen
-1.5 42.0% 58.0%
-0.5 52.8% 47.2%
+0.5 63.4% 36.6%
+1.5 73.1% 26.9%
FC KolnFC Koln

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means FC Koln at home and Leverkusen away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

LeverkusenLeverkusen
Statistic
FC Koln
Leverkusen
Corners won per game at this venue
6.7
6.7

Corners conceded per game at this venue
6.0
3.3

First-half corners won per game
2.3
2.3

Second-half corners won per game
3.7
5.0

Matches with more corners than the opponent
33.3%
66.7%

Matches with corner data
6
6

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 24,029 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 56.0%✗ 59.8%✓ 62.5%✓ 59.6%✓ 61.1%✗ 61.7%✓ 62.6%✓ 60.3%✗ 61.3%✗ 60.6%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 9.5 56.0%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 9.5 59.8%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 9.5 62.5%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 9.5 59.6%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 9.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 53.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 76.2% for over 7.5 to 21.8% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 53.3%. On the corner count, FC Koln are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.6%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, FC Koln over 4.5 corners sits at 59.7% and Leverkusen at 47.4%. This season FC Koln have averaged 6.0 corners won a game and Leverkusen 7.3.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

53.3%Over 9.5 corners
52.8%Most corners: FC Koln
59.7%FC Koln over 4.5 corners
47.4%Leverkusen over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 53.3% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderFC Koln are the pick to win the corner count at 52.8%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 53.3%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
FC KolnFC Koln

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

LeverkusenLeverkusen
Statistic
FC Koln
Leverkusen
corners won per game
6.0
7.3

corners conceded per game
6.3
3.3

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in FC Koln vs Leverkusen?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 53.3% for FC Koln vs Leverkusen.
Which team will win the corner count in FC Koln vs Leverkusen?
The model rates FC Koln to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do FC Koln and Leverkusen average this season?
FC Koln have won 6.0 corners a game this season and Leverkusen 7.3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

BundesligaFC Koln fixtures and statsLeverkusen fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.