Bundesliga
StuttgartStuttgartLWLLW
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1117:30UK5°C · Cloudy
Werder BremenWerder BremenWDDWW

Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56.9%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined43.1%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners56.9%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Stuttgart.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 78.9% 21.1%
8.5 corners 68.5% 31.5%
9.5 corners 56.9% 43.1%
10.5 corners 45.2% 54.8%
11.5 corners 34.2% 65.8%
12.5 corners 24.7% 75.3%

Who wins the corner count

Stuttgart
60.9%
Level
9.8%
Werder Bremen
29.3%

Team corners lines

Stuttgart

Over 3.5
80.5%
Over 4.5
67.2%
Over 5.5
52.6%

Werder Bremen

Over 3.5
60.7%
Over 4.5
43.4%
Over 5.5
28.4%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Stuttgart's; Werder Bremen gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Stuttgart line Stuttgart Werder Bremen
-3.5 30.2% 69.8%
-1.5 50.4% 49.6%
-0.5 60.9% 39.1%
+0.5 70.8% 29.3%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
51,077Matches graded

In 24,084 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 52.5%✓ 50.2%✗ 50.6%✓ 56.9%✗ 50.6%✓ 53.7%✗ 51.8%✓ 62.7%✗ 61.2%✓ 61.5%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Over 9.5 52.5%Hit
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.2%Hit
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 9.5 56.9%Hit
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 56.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 78.9% for over 7.5 to 24.7% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.2%. On the corner count, Stuttgart are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 60.9%, with a level count at 9.8%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Stuttgart over 4.5 corners sits at 67.2% and Werder Bremen at 43.4%. This season Stuttgart have averaged 6.7 corners won a game and Werder Bremen 3.7.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

56.9%Over 9.5 corners
60.9%Most corners: Stuttgart
67.2%Stuttgart over 4.5 corners
43.4%Werder Bremen over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.9% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderStuttgart are the pick to win the corner count at 60.9%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 45.2%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
StuttgartStuttgart

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Werder BremenWerder Bremen
Statistic
Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
corners won per game
6.7
3.7

corners conceded per game
6.0
5.8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 56.9% for Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen.
Which team will win the corner count in Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The model rates Stuttgart to win the corner count at 60.9%, with a level count at 9.8%.
How many corners do Stuttgart and Werder Bremen average this season?
Stuttgart have won 6.7 corners a game this season and Werder Bremen 3.7.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.