Bundesliga
Ein FrankfurtEin FrankfurtWDLWL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1116:30UK10°C · Clearing
HamburgHamburgLWWWL

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg xG stats

Recent xG created per game, from recorded matches.

Ein Frankfurt1.81

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Hamburg1.07

xG created per game · Last 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

Ein Frankfurt have created 1.81 xG and scored 1.17 per game over their last 6, scoring below their xG. Hamburg have created 1.07 xG and scored 1.00 per game over their last 6, tracking their xG closely.

Real Understat xG, recent games only (the five leagues we cover for xG). xG measures chance quality, not a tip.

Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt

Recent xG per game

Recorded recent matches.

HamburgHamburg
Statistic
Ein Frankfurt
Hamburg
Matches in sample
6
6
xG created per game
1.81
1.07

xG conceded per game
2.35
2.14

Bar scales · xG per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Ein FrankfurtEin FrankfurtLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-6
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

HamburgHamburgLast 5
L
Loss · 0-5
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt wins
2Draws
1HamburgHamburg wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
1 – 2
HamburgHamburg
HamburgHamburg
1 – 1
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
3 – 0
HamburgHamburg
HamburgHamburg
1 – 2
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
0 – 0
HamburgHamburg

Match outlook

PickEin Frankfurt56.7%
Draw21.7%
Hamburg21.7%

The model leans Ein Frankfurt to win.

See the full prediction

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Expected Goals (xG)-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

In-depth analysis

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

56.7%Favoured: Ein Frankfurt
61.0%Both Teams to Score
61.9%Over 2.5 goals

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt (1)
Younes Ebnoutalib
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
39.3%
2.54
1+ shot on target
60.0%
1.67
2+ shots
59.4%
1.68
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.49
On target1.60
Goals0.87
HamburgHamburg (1)
Terem Igobor Moffi
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
16.6%
6.02
1+ shot on target
49.5%
2.02
2+ shots
36.4%
2.75
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.30
On target1.77
Goals0.47

FAQ

How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Bundesliga, Expected Goals (xG)

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.