Bundesliga
Ein FrankfurtEin FrankfurtWDLWL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1116:30UK10°C · Clearing
HamburgHamburgLWWWL

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score10.3%
2-1 correct score9.8%
2-0 correct score8.1%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 10.3%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Ein Frankfurt goals, columns = Hamburg goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-110.3%
  2. 2-19.8%
  3. 2-08.1%
  4. 1-07.6%
  5. 3-16.4%
  6. 1-26.0%
  7. 2-25.9%
  8. 3-05.3%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6% 4.5% 3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.6% 10.3% 6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.8% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.3% 6.4% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Ein Frankfurt · Columns: Hamburg

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.6%

0

12.1%

1

21.4%

2

22.3%

3

17.8%

4

20.1%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Ein FrankfurtEin FrankfurtLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-6
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

HamburgHamburgLast 5
L
Loss · 0-5
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt wins
2Draws
1HamburgHamburg wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
1 – 2
HamburgHamburg
HamburgHamburg
1 – 1
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
3 – 0
HamburgHamburg
HamburgHamburg
1 – 2
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt
0 – 0
HamburgHamburg

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 10.3% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Ein Frankfurt have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded, Hamburg 1.2 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 61.9% for over 2.5 and 83.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 61.9% for three or more goals and 83.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Ein Frankfurt favoured at 56.7%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

56.7%Favoured: Ein Frankfurt
61.0%Both Teams to Score
61.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 61.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutEin Frankfurt are the model’s pick on the result at 56.7%, context for how the goals may flow.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Ein FrankfurtEin Frankfurt (1)
Younes Ebnoutalib
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
39.3%
2.54
1+ shot on target
60.0%
1.67
2+ shots
59.4%
1.68
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.49
On target1.60
Goals0.87
HamburgHamburg (1)
Terem Igobor Moffi
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
16.6%
6.02
1+ shot on target
49.5%
2.02
2+ shots
36.4%
2.75
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.30
On target1.77
Goals0.47

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg?
The model's most likely scoreline for Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg is 1-1 at 10.3%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.