ChampionshipCardiff vs Charlton Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · No at 54.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Cardiff have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, Charlton 0.4 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 38.5% for over 2.5 and 65.9% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. Cardiff have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Charlton in 1 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.8
1.6
0.4
1.0
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
71.4%Cardiff BTTS rate0.0%Cardiff clean sheets
1.0Cardiff goals scored per game42.9%Charlton BTTS rate42.9%Charlton clean sheets0.9Charlton goals scored per gameGoals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
45.8%Both Teams to Score38.5%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 38.5% for three or more goals and 65.9% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Cardiff favoured at 35.4%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Cardiff to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Cardiff 1 · 3 draws · Charlton 1 · 2.0 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Cardiff vs Charlton?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 45.8% for Cardiff vs Charlton.
Will Cardiff score against Charlton?
The model rates Cardiff to score at 67.5% and Charlton to score at 66.8%.
How often have Cardiff seen both teams score recently?
Cardiff have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Charlton in 1 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 20,276 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Championship, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
