ChampionshipLincoln vs Swansea Both Teams to Score
Result
We called Yes at 50.9% and it landed.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 50.9%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Lincoln have averaged 0.8 scored and 0.2 conceded, Swansea 1.8 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 46.0% for over 2.5 and 72.2% for at least two goals. Lincoln have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 5, Swansea in 2 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.8
0.2
1.8
0.8
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
37.5%Lincoln BTTS rate62.5%Lincoln clean sheets
0.9Lincoln goals scored per game42.9%Swansea BTTS rate57.1%Swansea clean sheets1.6Swansea goals scored per gameGoals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.
50.9%Both Teams to Score46.0%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 46.0% for three or more goals and 72.2% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Swansea favoured at 44.9%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Swansea to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Did both teams score in Lincoln vs Swansea?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 50.9%. Both teams scored, final score 1-2.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 26,677 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 20 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Championship, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
