Premier League
BrightonBrightonLDWWW
Full time5-0Sun, 18 Oct 202618/1014:00UK12°C · Rain
Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceLWLDW

Brighton 5-0 Crystal Palace both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes57.3%
Both teams to score: No42.7%

Result

Brighton5-0Crystal Palace
3 goals before half-timeBrighton 3, Crystal Palace 0
YesYes

We called Yes at 57.3% and it missed. We called Yes at 80.0% and it landed (3 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes57.3%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean57.3%
No42.7%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 58.3%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Brighton scored
2.8
Brighton conceded
1.0
Crystal Palace scored
1.8
Crystal Palace conceded
2.0

Each team to score

Brighton to score85.5%
Brighton 2+ goals57.4%
Crystal Palace to score66.5%
Crystal Palace 2+ goals30.0%

By half

Both score in 1st half26.8%
Both score in 2nd half23.1%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.4%

0

13.6%

1

22.7%

2

22.4%

3

16.9%

4

17.4%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

BrightonBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5
Crystal PalaceBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

BrightonBrightonLast 5
L
Loss · 3-4
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 5-0
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 2-0

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Crystal PalacePalaceLast 5
L
Loss · 1-4
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 2-3
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 3-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1BrightonBrighton wins
1Draws
3Crystal PalacePalace wins
2.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
BrightonBrighton
0 – 1
Crystal PalacePalace
Crystal PalacePalace
0 – 0
BrightonBrighton
Crystal PalacePalace
2 – 1
BrightonBrighton
BrightonBrighton
1 – 3
Crystal PalacePalace
BrightonBrighton
4 – 1
Crystal PalacePalace

Match outlook

PickBrighton58.0%
Draw22.5%
Crystal Palace19.4%

The model leans Brighton to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 34,661 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 57.3%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Brighton have averaged 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, Crystal Palace 1.8 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 58.3% for over 2.5 and 81.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. Brighton have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Crystal Palace in 4 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 58.3% for three or more goals and 81.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Brighton favoured at 58.0%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

58.0%Favoured: Brighton
57.3%Both Teams to Score
58.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 57.3% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 58.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBrighton are the model’s pick on the result at 58.0%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
BrightonBrighton

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Statistic
Brighton
Crystal Palace
BTTS rate
33.3%
66.7%

clean sheets
66.7%
16.7%

goals scored per game
3.0
1.5

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

BrightonBrighton (1)
Charalampos Kostoulas
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
13.9%
7.19
1+ shot on target
38.2%
2.62
2+ shots
37.2%
2.69
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.34
On target1.61
Goals0.50
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace (1)
Eddie Nketiah
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
11.2%
8.93
1+ shot on target
39.4%
2.54
2+ shots
34.2%
2.92
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.68
On target1.52
Goals0.36

FAQ

Did both teams score in Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 57.3%. Both teams did not both score, final score 5-0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Premier League, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.