AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Bundesliga
Bayern MunichBayern MunichWWDWW
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1017:30UK7°C · Cloudy
DortmundDortmundWWDDW

Bayern Munich vs Dortmund corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined54.2%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined45.8%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners54.2%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Bayern Munich.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 76.9% 23.1%
8.5 corners 66.1% 34.0%
9.5 corners 54.2% 45.8%
10.5 corners 42.4% 57.6%
11.5 corners 31.6% 68.4%
12.5 corners 22.5% 77.5%

Who wins the corner count

Bayern Munich
65.7%
Level
9.4%
Dortmund
24.9%

Team corners lines

Bayern Munich

Over 3.5
81.6%
Over 4.5
68.6%
Over 5.5
54.2%

Dortmund

Over 3.5
54.8%
Over 4.5
37.3%
Over 5.5
23.2%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Bayern Munich's; Dortmund gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Bayern Munich line Bayern Munich Dortmund
-3.5 34.2% 65.8%
-1.5 55.2% 44.8%
-0.5 65.7% 34.3%
+0.5 75.1% 24.9%
Bayern MunichBayern Munich

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Bayern Munich at home and Dortmund away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

DortmundDortmund
Statistic
Bayern Munich
Dortmund
Corners won per game at this venue
9.7
3.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
2.7
7.0

First-half corners won per game
3.9
3.0

Second-half corners won per game
5.3
3.0

Matches with more corners than the opponent
100.0%
57.1%

Matches with corner data
7
7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 54.2%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 76.9% for over 7.5 to 22.5% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.2%. On the corner count, Bayern Munich are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 65.7%, with a level count at 9.4%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Bayern Munich over 4.5 corners sits at 68.6% and Dortmund at 37.3%. This season Bayern Munich have averaged 9.1 corners won a game and Dortmund 6.0.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

54.2%Over 9.5 corners
65.7%Most corners: Bayern Munich
68.6%Bayern Munich over 4.5 corners
37.3%Dortmund over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 54.2% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderBayern Munich are the pick to win the corner count at 65.7%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 54.2%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
Bayern MunichBayern Munich

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

DortmundDortmund
Statistic
Bayern Munich
Dortmund
corners won per game
9.1
6.0

corners conceded per game
3.0
4.1

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Bayern Munich vs Dortmund?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 54.2% for Bayern Munich vs Dortmund.
Which team will win the corner count in Bayern Munich vs Dortmund?
The model rates Bayern Munich to win the corner count at 65.7%, with a level count at 9.4%.
How many corners do Bayern Munich and Dortmund average this season?
Bayern Munich have won 9.1 corners a game this season and Dortmund 6.0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

BundesligaBayern Munich fixtures and statsDortmund fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.