Bundesliga
Bayern MunichBayern MunichWWDWW
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1017:30UK7°C · Cloudy
DortmundDortmundWWDDW

Bayern Munich vs Dortmund both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes62.8%
Both teams to score: No37.2%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes62.8%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean62.8%
No37.2%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 68.1%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Bayern Munich scored
4.0
Bayern Munich conceded
1.0
Dortmund scored
1.4
Dortmund conceded
0.4

Each team to score

Bayern Munich to score90.3%
Bayern Munich 2+ goals67.7%
Dortmund to score69.1%
Dortmund 2+ goals32.8%

By half

Both score in 1st half21.5%
Both score in 2nd half39.2%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

3.4%

0

9.7%

1

18.9%

2

21.6%

3

18.9%

4

24.3%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Bayern MunichBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 5/5
DortmundBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Bayern MunichBayern MunichLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 7-0
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 6-1
W
Win · 3-1

4 wins · 1 draw · 0 losses

DortmundDortmundLast 5
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 1-0

3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Bayern MunichBayern Munich wins
2Draws
1DortmundDortmund wins
3.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
DortmundDortmund
2 – 3
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
2 – 1
DortmundDortmund
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
2 – 2
DortmundDortmund
DortmundDortmund
1 – 1
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
0 – 2
DortmundDortmund

Match outlook

PickBayern Munich66.5%
Draw17.0%
Dortmund16.6%

The model leans Bayern Munich to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 7,845 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 62.8%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Bayern Munich have averaged 4.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, Dortmund 1.4 and 0.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 68.1% for over 2.5 and 86.9% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. Bayern Munich have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Dortmund in 1 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 68.1% for three or more goals and 86.9% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Bayern Munich favoured at 66.5%, the scoreline often hinges on whether the favourite is made to chase.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

66.5%Favoured: Bayern Munich
62.8%Both Teams to Score
68.1%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 62.8% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 68.1% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBayern Munich are the model’s pick on the result at 66.5%, context for how the goals may flow.
Bayern MunichBayern Munich

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

DortmundDortmund
Statistic
Bayern Munich
Dortmund
BTTS rate
71.4%
28.6%

clean sheets
28.6%
71.4%

goals scored per game
3.6
1.7

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–4. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Bayern MunichBayern Munich (1)
Harry Kane
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
60.6%
1.65
1+ shot on target
84.3%
1.19
2+ shots
89.1%
1.12
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.46
On target2.19
Goals1.10
DortmundDortmund (1)
Serhou Guirassy
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
43.0%
2.33
1+ shot on target
70.5%
1.42
2+ shots
76.1%
1.31
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.13
On target1.39
Goals0.64

FAQ

Will both teams score in Bayern Munich vs Dortmund?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 62.8% for Bayern Munich vs Dortmund.
Will Bayern Munich score against Dortmund?
The model rates Bayern Munich to score at 90.3% and Dortmund to score at 69.1%.
How often have Bayern Munich seen both teams score recently?
Bayern Munich have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Dortmund in 1 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Bundesliga, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.