AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Pro League
WaregemWaregemWLLLL
Fri, 30 Oct 202630/1019:45UK
Club BruggeClub BruggeWWWWW

Waregem vs Club Brugge cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined55.2%
Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined44.9%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 3.5 cards44.9%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Waregem vs Club Brugge. The model leans toward Club Brugge for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 66.5% 33.5%
3.5 cards 44.9% 55.2%
4.5 cards 26.3% 73.7%
5.5 cards 13.5% 86.5%

Who picks up more cards

Waregem
31.0%
Level
22.0%
Club Brugge
47.0%

Team cards lines

Waregem

Over 1.5
44.8%
Over 2.5
19.7%

Club Brugge

Over 1.5
56.8%
Over 2.5
30.0%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Waregem's; Club Brugge gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Waregem line Waregem Club Brugge
-1.5 14.5% 85.5%
-0.5 31.0% 69.0%
+0.5 53.0% 47.0%
+1.5 73.6% 26.4%

Red card

Any red card17.8%
Waregem red card10.8%
Club Brugge red card7.8%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 58.8% 41.2%
22.5 fouls 44.1% 55.9%
24.5 fouls 30.5% 69.5%

Recent referees

The referees each side has met most this season, with cards per game overall and for that team. This history does not establish who officiates this match. The main match page shows a saved match referee when available.

Team Referee Games Cards/g Team cards/g
Waregem Simon Bourdeaud'hui 2 2.0 0.5
Club Brugge Lothar D'hondt 2 3.5 1.0
Club Brugge N. Laforge 2 3.5 1.5

Swipe to see all referee stats →

WaregemWaregem

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Waregem at home and Club Brugge away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Club BruggeClub Brugge
Statistic
Waregem
Club Brugge
Yellow cards per game
1.0
1.4

First-half yellow cards per game
0.3
0.4

Second-half yellow cards per game
0.7
1.0

Matches with card data
2
2

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 10,293 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Cards actually happened 48.5% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 44.9%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Line by line, the read runs from 66.5% for over 2.5 to 13.5% for over 5.5, with over 3.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 44.9%. Head to head on cards, Club Brugge are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 47.0%, with a level count at 22.0%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Waregem over 1.5 cards sits at 44.8% and Club Brugge at 56.8%. A red card for either side is rated at 17.8% (Waregem 10.8%, Club Brugge 7.8%). Waregem’s most frequent referee this season, Simon Bourdeaud'hui, has averaged 2.0 cards a game across 2 of their matches; the appointment for this game is not known before kickoff.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

44.9%Over 3.5 cards
17.8%Any red card
47.0%Most cards: Club Brugge
44.8%Waregem over 1.5 cards
56.8%Club Brugge over 1.5 cards
44.1%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 44.9% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Referee WatcherSimon Bourdeaud'hui, Waregem’s most frequent referee this season, averages 2.0 cards a game. These historical averages do not identify this match’s referee.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 17.8%, a low-probability event, but one that reshapes every line when it lands.
The DisciplinarianClub Brugge are the pick to collect more cards at 47.0%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
WaregemWaregem

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Club BruggeClub Brugge
Statistic
Waregem
Club Brugge
fouls per game
11.4
7.4

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Waregem vs Club Brugge?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 44.9% for Waregem vs Club Brugge.
Will there be a red card in Waregem vs Club Brugge?
The model rates a red card for either side at 17.8%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Waregem vs Club Brugge?
The model rates Club Brugge to pick up more cards at 47.0%, with a level count at 22.0%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Pro LeagueWaregem fixtures and statsClub Brugge fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.