AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Pro League
Cercle BruggeCercle BruggeLDLLL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1112:30UK
AntwerpAntwerpLLLLW

Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined52.7%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined47.3%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 3.5 cards52.7%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp. Slightly more cards are projected for Antwerp for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 73.1% 27.0%
3.5 cards 52.7% 47.3%
4.5 cards 33.5% 66.5%
5.5 cards 18.8% 81.3%

Who picks up more cards

Cercle Brugge
30.6%
Level
20.7%
Antwerp
48.8%

Team cards lines

Cercle Brugge

Over 1.5
49.7%
Over 2.5
23.6%

Antwerp

Over 1.5
62.8%
Over 2.5
36.1%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Cercle Brugge's; Antwerp gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Cercle Brugge line Cercle Brugge Antwerp
-1.5 15.0% 85.0%
-0.5 30.6% 69.4%
+0.5 51.2% 48.8%
+1.5 71.2% 28.8%

Red card

Any red card22.0%
Cercle Brugge red card11.7%
Antwerp red card11.8%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 69.3% 30.7%
22.5 fouls 55.5% 44.5%
24.5 fouls 41.4% 58.6%

Recent referees

The referees each side has met most this season, with cards per game overall and for that team. This history does not establish who officiates this match. The main match page shows a saved match referee when available.

Team Referee Games Cards/g Team cards/g
Antwerp B. Van Driessche 2 5.0 2.5
Antwerp N. Laforge 2 3.5 1.5

Swipe to see all referee stats →

Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Cercle Brugge at home and Antwerp away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

AntwerpAntwerp
Statistic
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
Yellow cards per game
1.4
2.0

First-half yellow cards per game
0.3
0.7

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.1
1.3

Matches with card data
1
2

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 11,337 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Cards actually happened 55.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 52.7%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 73.1% for over 2.5 to 18.8% for over 5.5, with over 3.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 52.7%. On the card count, Antwerp are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 48.8%, with a level count at 20.7%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Cercle Brugge over 1.5 cards sits at 49.7% and Antwerp at 62.8%. A red card for either side is rated at 22.0% (Cercle Brugge 11.7%, Antwerp 11.8%). Antwerp’s most frequent referee this season, B. Van Driessche, has averaged 5.0 cards a game across 2 of their matches; the appointment for this game is not known before kickoff.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

52.7%Over 3.5 cards
22.0%Any red card
48.8%Most cards: Antwerp
49.7%Cercle Brugge over 1.5 cards
62.8%Antwerp over 1.5 cards
55.5%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 52.7% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Referee WatcherB. Van Driessche, Antwerp’s most frequent referee this season, averages 5.0 cards a game. These historical averages do not identify this match’s referee.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 22.0%, a live risk in this one, and a red changes every card line at once.
The DisciplinarianAntwerp are the pick to collect more cards at 48.8%, the side chasing the game tends to foul more.
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AntwerpAntwerp
Statistic
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
fouls per game
12.9
14.6

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 52.7% for Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp.
Will there be a red card in Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp?
The model rates a red card for either side at 22.0%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp?
The model rates Antwerp to pick up more cards at 48.8%, with a level count at 20.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Pro LeagueCercle Brugge fixtures and statsAntwerp fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.