AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

League Two
SwindonSwindonLLDWD
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1015:00UK
RotherhamRotherhamLLLDD

Swindon vs Rotherham corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56.5%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined43.5%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners56.5%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Swindon.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 78.1% 21.9%
8.5 corners 67.8% 32.2%
9.5 corners 56.5% 43.5%
10.5 corners 45.1% 54.9%
11.5 corners 34.4% 65.6%
12.5 corners 25.2% 74.8%

Who wins the corner count

Swindon
54.2%
Level
10.3%
Rotherham
35.5%

Team corners lines

Swindon

Over 3.5
76.7%
Over 4.5
62.5%
Over 5.5
47.6%

Rotherham

Over 3.5
65.2%
Over 4.5
48.6%
Over 5.5
33.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Swindon's; Rotherham gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Swindon line Swindon Rotherham
-1.5 43.7% 56.3%
-0.5 54.2% 45.8%
+0.5 64.5% 35.5%
+1.5 73.8% 26.2%
SwindonSwindon

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Swindon at home and Rotherham away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

RotherhamRotherham
Statistic
Swindon
Rotherham
Corners won per game at this venue
5.0
4.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
5.7
6.5

First-half corners won per game
1.5
1.0

Second-half corners won per game
2.5
2.7

Matches with more corners than the opponent
23.1%
38.5%

Matches with corner data
13
13

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 56.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 78.1% for over 7.5 to 25.2% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.1%. Between the two sides, Swindon are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.2%, with a level count at 10.3%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Swindon over 4.5 corners sits at 62.5% and Rotherham at 48.6%. This season Swindon have averaged 4.0 corners won a game and Rotherham 3.7.

56.5%Over 9.5 corners
54.2%Most corners: Swindon
62.5%Swindon over 4.5 corners
48.6%Rotherham over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.5% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderSwindon are the pick to win the corner count at 54.2%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 45.1%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
SwindonSwindon

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

RotherhamRotherham
Statistic
Swindon
Rotherham
corners won per game
4.0
3.7

corners conceded per game
7.9
5.0

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Swindon vs Rotherham?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 56.5% for Swindon vs Rotherham.
Which team will win the corner count in Swindon vs Rotherham?
The model rates Swindon to win the corner count at 54.2%, with a level count at 10.3%.
How many corners do Swindon and Rotherham average this season?
Swindon have won 4.0 corners a game this season and Rotherham 3.7.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

League TwoSwindon fixtures and statsRotherham fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.