AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Pro League
St TruidenSt TruidenWLLLL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1115:00UK
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-HeverleeLDWDD

Sint-Truiden vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56.8%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined43.3%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners56.8%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges St Truiden.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 78.8% 21.2%
8.5 corners 68.4% 31.6%
9.5 corners 56.8% 43.3%
10.5 corners 45.0% 55.1%
11.5 corners 34.0% 66.1%
12.5 corners 24.5% 75.5%

Who wins the corner count

St Truiden
60.6%
Level
9.9%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
29.5%

Team corners lines

St Truiden

Over 3.5
80.3%
Over 4.5
66.9%
Over 5.5
52.2%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Over 3.5
60.8%
Over 4.5
43.5%
Over 5.5
28.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is St Truiden's; Oud-Heverlee Leuven gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

St Truiden line St Truiden Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-3.5 29.9% 70.1%
-1.5 50.1% 49.9%
-0.5 60.6% 39.4%
+0.5 70.5% 29.5%
St TruidenSt Truiden

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means St Truiden at home and Oud-Heverlee Leuven away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-Heverlee
Statistic
St Truiden
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Corners won per game at this venue
6.8
3.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
2.8
8.0

First-half corners won per game
3.2
2.3

Second-half corners won per game
2.0
1.4

Matches with more corners than the opponent
66.7%
22.2%

Matches with corner data
9
9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 56.8%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 78.8% for over 7.5 to 24.5% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.0%. Between the two sides, St Truiden are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 60.6%, with a level count at 9.9%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

By team, St Truiden over 4.5 corners sits at 66.9% and Oud-Heverlee Leuven at 43.5%. This season St Truiden have averaged 5.2 corners won a game and Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3.8.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

56.8%Over 9.5 corners
60.6%Most corners: St Truiden
66.9%St Truiden over 4.5 corners
43.5%Oud-Heverlee Leuven over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.8% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderSt Truiden are the pick to win the corner count at 60.6%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 45.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
St TruidenSt Truiden

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-Heverlee
Statistic
St Truiden
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
corners won per game
5.2
3.8

corners conceded per game
3.8
8.0

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in St Truiden vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 56.8% for St Truiden vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven.
Which team will win the corner count in St Truiden vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
The model rates St Truiden to win the corner count at 60.6%, with a level count at 9.9%.
How many corners do St Truiden and Oud-Heverlee Leuven average this season?
St Truiden have won 5.2 corners a game this season and Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3.8.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Pro LeagueSint-Truiden fixtures and statsOud-Heverlee Leuven fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.