Pro League
St TruidenSt TruidenWLLLL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1115:00UK
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-HeverleeLDWDD

Sint-Truiden vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11.5%
1-0 correct score10.1%
2-1 correct score9.8%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.5%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = St Truiden goals, columns = Oud-Heverlee Leuven goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.5%
  2. 1-010.1%
  3. 2-19.8%
  4. 2-09.6%
  5. 0-06.5%
  6. 3-15.9%
  7. 3-05.7%
  8. 1-25.6%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5% 5.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.5% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.9% 3% 1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: St Truiden · Columns: Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.5%

0

15.7%

1

24.2%

2

22.3%

3

15.7%

4

14.5%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

St TruidenSt TruidenLast 5
W
Win · 4-0
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 3-4
L
Loss · 2-3

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-HeverleeLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 2-2

1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3St TruidenSt Truiden wins
1Draws
1Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-Heverlee wins
2.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
St TruidenSt Truiden
1 – 0
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-Heverlee
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-Heverlee
1 – 2
St TruidenSt Truiden
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-Heverlee
3 – 2
St TruidenSt Truiden
St TruidenSt Truiden
2 – 1
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-Heverlee
St TruidenSt Truiden
1 – 1
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-Heverlee

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 11.5% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: St Truiden have averaged 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.2 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 53.6% for over 2.5 and 77.8% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.8 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 53.6% for three or more goals and 77.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With St Truiden favoured at 54.7%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

54.7%Favoured: St Truiden
54.1%Both Teams to Score
53.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 53.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSt Truiden are the model’s pick on the result at 54.7%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in St Truiden vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
The model's most likely scoreline for St Truiden vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven is 1-1 at 11.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.