Pro League
BeverenBeverenWWLLD
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1019:45UK
St. GilloiseSt. GilloiseWWWDW

Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined55%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined45%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners55.0%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Beveren.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 77.6% 22.4%
8.5 corners 66.8% 33.2%
9.5 corners 55.0% 45.0%
10.5 corners 43.2% 56.8%
11.5 corners 32.3% 67.7%
12.5 corners 23.0% 77.0%

Who wins the corner count

Beveren
49.5%
Level
10.7%
St. Gilloise
39.9%

Team corners lines

Beveren

Over 3.5
73.8%
Over 4.5
58.4%
Over 5.5
43.0%

St. Gilloise

Over 3.5
67.8%
Over 4.5
51.3%
Over 5.5
35.8%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Beveren's; St. Gilloise gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Beveren line Beveren St. Gilloise
-1.5 38.9% 61.1%
-0.5 49.5% 50.5%
+0.5 60.1% 39.9%
+1.5 70.0% 30.0%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 55.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 77.6% for over 7.5 to 23.0% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.0%. On the corner count, Beveren are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 49.5%, with a level count at 10.7%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

By team, Beveren over 4.5 corners sits at 58.4% and St. Gilloise at 51.3%. This season Beveren have averaged 5.6 corners won a game and St. Gilloise 6.7.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

55.0%Over 9.5 corners
49.5%Most corners: Beveren
58.4%Beveren over 4.5 corners
51.3%St. Gilloise over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 55.0% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderBeveren are the pick to win the corner count at 49.5%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 55.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
BeverenBeveren

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

St. GilloiseSt. Gilloise
Statistic
Beveren
St. Gilloise
corners won per game
5.6
6.7

corners conceded per game
4.6
3.1

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Beveren vs St. Gilloise?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 55.0% for Beveren vs St. Gilloise.
Which team will win the corner count in Beveren vs St. Gilloise?
The model rates Beveren to win the corner count at 49.5%, with a level count at 10.7%.
How many corners do Beveren and St. Gilloise average this season?
Beveren have won 5.6 corners a game this season and St. Gilloise 6.7.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.