AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 27 Oct 2026

Primeira Liga
Sp BragaSp BragaWDLLL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1120:30UK
FamalicaoFamalicaoDDWLW

Sp Braga vs Famalicao corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined57.1%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined42.9%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners42.9%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Sp Braga.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 66.0% 34.0%
8.5 corners 54.4% 45.6%
9.5 corners 42.9% 57.1%
10.5 corners 32.5% 67.5%
11.5 corners 23.6% 76.4%
12.5 corners 16.5% 83.5%

Who wins the corner count

Sp Braga
54.2%
Level
10.3%
Famalicao
35.5%

Team corners lines

Sp Braga

Over 3.5
68.1%
Over 4.5
53.1%
Over 5.5
39.1%

Famalicao

Over 3.5
54.8%
Over 4.5
38.7%
Over 5.5
25.6%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Sp Braga's; Famalicao gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Sp Braga line Sp Braga Famalicao
-1.5 43.7% 56.3%
-0.5 54.2% 45.8%
+0.5 64.5% 35.5%
+1.5 73.9% 26.1%
Sp BragaSp Braga

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Sp Braga at home and Famalicao away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

FamalicaoFamalicao
Statistic
Sp Braga
Famalicao
Corners won per game at this venue
3.8
5.8

Corners conceded per game at this venue
1.8
5.0

First-half corners won per game
1.3
3.1

Second-half corners won per game
2.9
2.6

Matches with more corners than the opponent
50.0%
50.0%

Matches with corner data
8
8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 42.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 66.0% for over 7.5 to 16.5% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.4%. On the corner count, Sp Braga are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.2%, with a level count at 10.3%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Sp Braga over 4.5 corners sits at 53.1% and Famalicao at 38.7%. This season Sp Braga have averaged 4.1 corners won a game and Famalicao 5.8.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

42.9%Over 9.5 corners
54.2%Most corners: Sp Braga
53.1%Sp Braga over 4.5 corners
38.7%Famalicao over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 42.9% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderSp Braga are the pick to win the corner count at 54.2%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 54.4%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
Sp BragaSp Braga

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

FamalicaoFamalicao
Statistic
Sp Braga
Famalicao
corners won per game
4.1
5.8

corners conceded per game
2.9
3.9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Sp Braga vs Famalicao?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 42.9% for Sp Braga vs Famalicao.
Which team will win the corner count in Sp Braga vs Famalicao?
The model rates Sp Braga to win the corner count at 54.2%, with a level count at 10.3%.
How many corners do Sp Braga and Famalicao average this season?
Sp Braga have won 4.1 corners a game this season and Famalicao 5.8.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Primeira LigaSp Braga fixtures and statsFamalicao fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.