AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

League Two
SalfordSalfordWWWWW
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1015:00UK
ExeterExeterWWDWW

Salford vs Exeter corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined53.1%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined46.9%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners53.1%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Salford.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 75.6% 24.4%
8.5 corners 64.8% 35.3%
9.5 corners 53.1% 46.9%
10.5 corners 41.6% 58.4%
11.5 corners 31.2% 68.8%
12.5 corners 22.4% 77.6%

Who wins the corner count

Salford
60.8%
Level
10.0%
Exeter
29.2%

Team corners lines

Salford

Over 3.5
78.4%
Over 4.5
64.7%
Over 5.5
50.0%

Exeter

Over 3.5
58.1%
Over 4.5
40.8%
Over 5.5
26.4%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Salford's; Exeter gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Salford line Salford Exeter
-3.5 29.7% 70.3%
-1.5 50.1% 49.9%
-0.5 60.8% 39.2%
+0.5 70.8% 29.2%
SalfordSalford

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Salford at home and Exeter away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

ExeterExeter
Statistic
Salford
Exeter
Corners won per game at this venue
7.6
3.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
3.2
6.2

First-half corners won per game
2.7
1.8

Second-half corners won per game
2.8
2.5

Matches with more corners than the opponent
36.4%
23.1%

Matches with corner data
11
13

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 53.1%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 75.6% for over 7.5 to 22.4% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 53.1%. On the corner count, Salford are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 60.8%, with a level count at 10.0%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Salford over 4.5 corners sits at 64.7% and Exeter at 40.8%. This season Salford have averaged 5.6 corners won a game and Exeter 4.3.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

53.1%Over 9.5 corners
60.8%Most corners: Salford
64.7%Salford over 4.5 corners
40.8%Exeter over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 53.1% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderSalford are the pick to win the corner count at 60.8%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 53.1%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
SalfordSalford

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

ExeterExeter
Statistic
Salford
Exeter
corners won per game
5.6
4.3

corners conceded per game
4.8
4.9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Salford vs Exeter?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 53.1% for Salford vs Exeter.
Which team will win the corner count in Salford vs Exeter?
The model rates Salford to win the corner count at 60.8%, with a level count at 10.0%.
How many corners do Salford and Exeter average this season?
Salford have won 5.6 corners a game this season and Exeter 4.3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

League TwoSalford fixtures and statsExeter fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.