EredivisiePEC Zwolle vs 
Cambuur Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 55.1%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 79.3% for over 7.5 to 26.1% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.5%. Between the two sides, PEC Zwolle are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 55.0%, with a level count at 9.6%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 79.3% | 20.7% |
| 8.5 corners | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| 9.5 corners | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| 10.5 corners | 46.5% | 53.6% |
| 11.5 corners | 35.6% | 64.4% |
| 12.5 corners | 26.1% | 73.9% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
77.0%
63.3%
49.0%
64.6%
48.5%
33.9%
Corner handicap
| PEC Zwolle line | PEC Zwolle | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 26.9% | 73.1% |
| -1.5 | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| -0.5 | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| +0.5 | 64.6% | 35.4% |
This season (2026/27)
3.8Cambuur corners won per game5.8Cambuur corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges PEC Zwolle.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
58.0%Over 9.5 corners63.3%PEC Zwolle over 4.5 corners48.5%Cambuur over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalFor the team lines, PEC Zwolle over 4.5 corners sits at 63.3% and Cambuur at 48.5%.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 58.0% for PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur.
Which team will win the corner count in PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur?
The model rates PEC Zwolle to win the corner count at 55.0%, with a level count at 9.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 23,762 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Eredivisie, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
