Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven vs 
Heerenveen Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 57.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 81.6% for over 7.5 to 29.3% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 50.0%. On the corner count, PSV Eindhoven are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 60.5%, with a level count at 9.0%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 81.6% | 18.4% |
| 8.5 corners | 72.2% | 27.8% |
| 9.5 corners | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| 10.5 corners | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| 11.5 corners | 39.1% | 60.9% |
| 12.5 corners | 29.3% | 70.7% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
81.2%
68.9%
55.3%
62.5%
46.2%
31.7%
Corner handicap
| PSV Eindhoven line | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 32.2% | 67.8% |
| -1.5 | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| -0.5 | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| +0.5 | 69.6% | 30.4% |
This season (2026/27)
7.6PSV Eindhoven corners won per game2.4PSV Eindhoven corners conceded per game5.1Heerenveen corners won per game5.6Heerenveen corners conceded per gameCorner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for PSV Eindhoven.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.
61.4%Over 9.5 corners68.9%PSV Eindhoven over 4.5 corners46.2%Heerenveen over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, PSV Eindhoven over 4.5 corners sits at 68.9% and Heerenveen at 46.2%. This season PSV Eindhoven have averaged 7.6 corners won a game and Heerenveen 5.1.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 61.4% for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen.
Which team will win the corner count in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
The model rates PSV Eindhoven to win the corner count at 60.5%, with a level count at 9.0%.
How many corners do PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen average this season?
PSV Eindhoven have won 7.6 corners a game this season and Heerenveen 5.1.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 1,505 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Corners actually happened 62.9% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Eredivisie, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
