PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heerenveen corners: our prediction vs the result
Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.
Result
PSV Eindhoven2-0Heerenveen
We called Over 9.5 at 61.4% and it landed (10 in the match).
Model read
A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.
Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.
Conviction: Moderate
Over 9.5 corners61.4%
Corners
Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.
Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for PSV Eindhoven.
Total corners
Both teams combined.
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 81.6% | 18.4% |
| 8.5 corners | 72.2% | 27.8% |
| 9.5 corners | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| 10.5 corners | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| 11.5 corners | 39.1% | 60.9% |
| 12.5 corners | 29.3% | 70.7% |
Who wins the corner count
PSV EindhovenHeerenveenTeam corners lines
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
Corner handicap
The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is PSV Eindhoven's; Heerenveen gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.
| PSV Eindhoven line | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 32.2% | 67.8% |
| -1.5 | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| -0.5 | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| +0.5 | 69.6% | 30.4% |
Corner trends
2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means PSV Eindhoven at home and Heerenveen away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.
Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 1,508 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Corners actually happened 62.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 6 Nov 2026.
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 61.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 81.6% for over 7.5 to 29.3% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 50.0%. On the corner count, PSV Eindhoven are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 60.5%, with a level count at 9.0%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.
In-depth analysis
By team, PSV Eindhoven over 4.5 corners sits at 68.9% and Heerenveen at 46.2%. This season PSV Eindhoven have averaged 7.6 corners won a game and Heerenveen 5.1.
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
This season
2026/27 · Recorded results.
Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.
FAQ
How many corners in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
Which team will win the corner count in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
How many corners do PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen average this season?
How is this probability calculated?
Is this a betting tip?
All corners predictions
Related
Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
