Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles vs 
Sparta Rotterdam Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 57.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 81.1% for over 7.5 to 28.6% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.2%. On the corner count, Go Ahead Eagles are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 58.4%, with a level count at 9.3%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 81.1% | 18.9% |
| 8.5 corners | 71.5% | 28.5% |
| 9.5 corners | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| 10.5 corners | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| 11.5 corners | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| 12.5 corners | 28.6% | 71.4% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
79.9%
67.1%
53.3%
63.7%
47.4%
32.9%
Corner handicap
| Go Ahead Eagles line | Go Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 30.2% | 69.8% |
| -1.5 | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| -0.5 | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| +0.5 | 67.7% | 32.3% |
This season (2026/27)
6.0Go Ahead Eagles corners won per game4.4Go Ahead Eagles corners conceded per game6.0Sparta Rotterdam corners won per game7.0Sparta Rotterdam corners conceded per gameCorner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Go Ahead Eagles.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
60.6%Over 9.5 corners67.1%Go Ahead Eagles over 4.5 corners47.4%Sparta Rotterdam over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalSplit by side, Go Ahead Eagles over 4.5 corners sits at 67.1% and Sparta Rotterdam at 47.4%. This season Go Ahead Eagles have averaged 6.0 corners won a game and Sparta Rotterdam 6.0.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 60.6% for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam.
Which team will win the corner count in Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The model rates Go Ahead Eagles to win the corner count at 58.4%, with a level count at 9.3%.
How many corners do Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam average this season?
Go Ahead Eagles have won 6.0 corners a game this season and Sparta Rotterdam 6.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 1,505 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Corners actually happened 62.9% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Eredivisie, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
