PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur prediction & probabilities (2026-10-11)

Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur Both Teams to Score

2026-10-11 · 13:30
Both Teams to Score63.6%Both teams to score · Yes
Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 63.6%A moderate lean, nothing emphatic. Calibrated, not a tip.
64%

model probability

ConvictionModerate

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 63.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. That fits an open goals environment: 61.5% for over 2.5 and 83.1% for at least two goals. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes63.6%

No36.4%

Over 2.5 · context61.5%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Cambuur scored

1.8

Cambuur conceded

2.4

Each team to score

PEC Zwolle to score81.5%

PEC Zwolle 2+ goals50.3%

Cambuur to score77.4%

Cambuur 2+ goals43.8%

By half

Both score in 1st half29.2%

Both score in 2nd half39.7%

This season (2026/27)

66.7%Cambuur BTTS rate
22.2%Cambuur clean sheets
1.6Cambuur goals scored per game

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.7%

0

12.2%

1

21.6%

2

22.3%

3

17.7%

4

20.3%

5+

In-depth analysis

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

42.1%Favoured: PEC Zwolle
63.6%Both Teams to Score
61.5%Over 2.5 goals

Looking at totals, the model sees 61.5% for three or more goals and 83.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With PEC Zwolle favoured at 42.1%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 63.6% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 61.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutPEC Zwolle are the model’s pick on the result at 42.1%, a lean on probability, never on price.

Match outlook

PEC Zwolle42.1%

Draw24.4%

Cambuur33.4%

The model leans PEC Zwolle to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

CambuurLLDWD

Recent trends

CambuurBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 63.6% for PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur.

Will PEC Zwolle score against Cambuur?
The model rates PEC Zwolle to score at 81.5% and Cambuur to score at 77.4%.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,617Matches graded

In 5,795 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 61.8%✗ 54.5%✗ 51.3%✓ 55.8%✗ 67.4%✗ 62.0%✓ 64.5%✓ 60.1%✓ 59.0%✓ 55.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool2026-09-20Yes 61.8%Miss
Leeds vs Crystal Palace2026-09-20Yes 54.5%Miss
Manchester City vs Sunderland2026-09-20No 51.3%Miss
Fulham vs Manchester United2026-09-20Yes 55.8%Hit
Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig2026-09-20Yes 67.4%Miss

More Eredivisie, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.