AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 26 Oct 2026

Pro League
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-HeverleeLLDWD
Full time2-2Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1017:15UK
Lommel SKLommel SKWLLDW

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2-2 Lommel SK corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined59.7%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined40.3%

Result

Oud-Heverlee Leuven2-2Lommel SK
12 cornersOud-Heverlee Leuven 7, Lommel SK 5
Over 9.5

We called Over 9.5 at 59.7% and it landed (12 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners59.7%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Oud-Heverlee Leuven.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 80.8% 19.2%
8.5 corners 71.0% 29.0%
9.5 corners 59.7% 40.3%
10.5 corners 48.0% 52.0%
11.5 corners 36.9% 63.1%
12.5 corners 27.0% 73.0%

Who wins the corner count

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
50.7%
Level
10.3%
Lommel SK
39.0%

Team corners lines

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Over 3.5
76.7%
Over 4.5
62.2%
Over 5.5
47.0%

Lommel SK

Over 3.5
69.8%
Over 4.5
53.6%
Over 5.5
38.1%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Oud-Heverlee Leuven's; Lommel SK gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven line Oud-Heverlee Leuven Lommel SK
-1.5 40.3% 59.7%
-0.5 50.7% 49.3%
+0.5 61.0% 39.0%
+1.5 70.6% 29.4%
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-Heverlee

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home and Lommel SK away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Lommel SKLommel SK
Statistic
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Lommel SK
Corners won per game at this venue
4.0
3.3

Corners conceded per game at this venue
10.0
7.0

Matches with more corners than the opponent
16.7%
16.7%

Matches with corner data
6
6

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 59.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 80.8% for over 7.5 to 27.0% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.0%. Between the two sides, Oud-Heverlee Leuven are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 50.7%, with a level count at 10.3%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Oud-Heverlee Leuven over 4.5 corners sits at 62.2% and Lommel SK at 53.6%. This season Oud-Heverlee Leuven have averaged 3.3 corners won a game and Lommel SK 3.2.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

59.7%Over 9.5 corners
50.7%Most corners: Oud-Heverlee Leuven
62.2%Oud-Heverlee Leuven over 4.5 corners
53.6%Lommel SK over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 59.7% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderOud-Heverlee Leuven are the pick to win the corner count at 50.7%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 48.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 10.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-Heverlee

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Lommel SKLommel SK
Statistic
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Lommel SK
corners won per game
3.3
3.2

corners conceded per game
8.8
7.7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 59.7% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK.
Which team will win the corner count in Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK?
Before kickoff, the model rated Oud-Heverlee Leuven to win the corner count at 50.7%, with a level count at 10.3%.
How many corners do Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Lommel SK average this season?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven have won 3.3 corners a game this season and Lommel SK 3.2.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Pro LeagueOud-Heverlee Leuven fixtures and statsLommel SK fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.