Pro League
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-HeverleeLLDWD
Full time2-2Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1017:15UK
Lommel SKLommel SKWLLDW

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2-2 Lommel SK correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.2%
1-0 correct score11%
2-1 correct score8.9%

Result

Oud-Heverlee Leuven2-2Lommel SK

Final score 2-2. The model gave that exact scoreline 4.8%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.2%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Oud-Heverlee Leuven goals, columns = Lommel SK goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.2%
  2. 1-011.0%
  3. 2-18.9%
  4. 0-08.8%
  5. 0-18.3%
  6. 2-08.2%
  7. 1-26.9%
  8. 0-24.9%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8% 8.3% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11% 13.2% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 8.9% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Columns: Lommel SK

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.8%

0

19.3%

1

26.3%

2

21.4%

3

13.4%

4

10.5%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenOud-HeverleeLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-3
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Lommel SKLommel SKLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-5
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 3-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 13.2% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Oud-Heverlee Leuven have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Lommel SK 0.8 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 45.6% for over 2.5 and 71.9% for at least two goals. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 45.6% for three or more goals and 71.9% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Oud-Heverlee Leuven favoured at 43.8%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

43.8%Favoured: Oud-Heverlee Leuven
50.8%Both Teams to Score
45.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 45.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutOud-Heverlee Leuven are the model’s pick on the result at 43.8%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK finished 2-2. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.2%; it gave the actual 2-2 a 4.8% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.