Serie A
FiorentinaFiorentinaWDLLL
Thu, 29 Oct 202629/1019:45UK14°C · Clear
AtalantaAtalantaLLWLD

Fiorentina vs Atalanta both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes58.5%
Both teams to score: No41.5%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes58.5%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean58.5%
No41.5%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 55.4%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Fiorentina scored
1.6
Fiorentina conceded
2.0
Atalanta scored
2.0
Atalanta conceded
2.4

Each team to score

Fiorentina to score72.5%
Fiorentina 2+ goals37.0%
Atalanta to score80.0%
Atalanta 2+ goals47.8%

By half

Both score in 1st half24.8%
Both score in 2nd half26.6%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.1%

0

14.8%

1

23.7%

2

22.4%

3

16.2%

4

16.0%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

FiorentinaBTTS 5/5Over 2.5 4/5
AtalantaBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

FiorentinaFiorentinaLast 5
W
Win · 4-2
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

AtalantaAtalantaLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 2-3
D
Draw · 4-4

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2FiorentinaFiorentina wins
1Draws
2AtalantaAtalanta wins
3.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
FiorentinaFiorentina
1 – 1
AtalantaAtalanta
AtalantaAtalanta
2 – 0
FiorentinaFiorentina
FiorentinaFiorentina
1 – 0
AtalantaAtalanta
AtalantaAtalanta
3 – 2
FiorentinaFiorentina
AtalantaAtalanta
2 – 3
FiorentinaFiorentina

Match outlook

Fiorentina30.2%
Draw24.1%
PickAtalanta45.7%

The model leans Atalanta to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 34,665 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 58.5%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Fiorentina have averaged 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded, Atalanta 2.0 and 2.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 55.4% for over 2.5 and 79.1% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. Fiorentina have seen both teams score in 5 of their last 5, Atalanta in 4 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 55.4% for three or more goals and 79.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Atalanta favoured at 45.7%, a competitive game tends to open up.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

45.7%Favoured: Atalanta
58.5%Both Teams to Score
55.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 58.5% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 55.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutAtalanta are the model’s pick on the result at 45.7%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
FiorentinaFiorentina

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AtalantaAtalanta
Statistic
Fiorentina
Atalanta
BTTS rate
75.0%
75.0%

clean sheets
0.0%
12.5%

goals scored per game
1.1
1.8

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

FiorentinaFiorentina (1)
Moise Kean
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
35.4%
2.82
1+ shot on target
72.3%
1.38
2+ shots
83.2%
1.20
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.69
On target1.47
Goals0.50
AtalantaAtalanta (1)
Gianluca Scamacca
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
29.2%
3.42
1+ shot on target
55.7%
1.80
2+ shots
59.5%
1.68
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.59
On target1.46
Goals0.62

FAQ

Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 58.5% for Fiorentina vs Atalanta.
Will Fiorentina score against Atalanta?
The model rates Fiorentina to score at 72.5% and Atalanta to score at 80.0%.
How often have Fiorentina seen both teams score recently?
Fiorentina have seen both teams score in 5 of their last 5, Atalanta in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Serie A, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.