La Liga
Levante vs 
Sevilla Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 48.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 72.9% for over 7.5 to 18.7% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.1%. On the corner count, Levante are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.8%, with a level count at 10.7%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 72.9% | 27.1% |
| 8.5 corners | 61.3% | 38.7% |
| 9.5 corners | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| 10.5 corners | 37.4% | 62.6% |
| 11.5 corners | 27.1% | 72.9% |
| 12.5 corners | 18.7% | 81.3% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
73.2%
57.8%
42.4%
61.0%
43.7%
28.8%
Corner handicap
| Levante line | Levante | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42.8% | 57.2% |
| -0.5 | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| +0.5 | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| +1.5 | 74.3% | 25.7% |
This season (2026/27)
3.0Levante corners won per game5.8Levante corners conceded per game3.3Sevilla corners won per game3.6Sevilla corners conceded per gameThe corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Levante.
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.
49.1%Over 9.5 corners57.8%Levante over 4.5 corners43.7%Sevilla over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Levante over 4.5 corners sits at 57.8% and Sevilla at 43.7%. This season Levante have averaged 3.0 corners won a game and Sevilla 3.3.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Levante vs Sevilla?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 49.1% for Levante vs Sevilla.
Which team will win the corner count in Levante vs Sevilla?
The model rates Levante to win the corner count at 53.8%, with a level count at 10.7%.
How many corners do Levante and Sevilla average this season?
Levante have won 3.0 corners a game this season and Sevilla 3.3.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,686 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More La Liga, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
