Levante vs Sevilla prediction & probabilities (2026-10-12)

La Liga

Levante vs Sevilla Both Teams to Score

2026-10-12 · 20:00
Both Teams to Score55.1%Both teams to score · Yes
Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 55.1%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
55%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 55.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Levante have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded, Sevilla 1.0 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 51.6% for over 2.5 and 76.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.8 goals a game. Levante have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Sevilla in 3 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes55.1%

No44.9%

Over 2.5 · context51.6%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Levante scored

1.6

Levante conceded

1.8

Sevilla scored

1.0

Sevilla conceded

1.4

Each team to score

Levante to score79.2%

Levante 2+ goals46.5%

Sevilla to score68.9%

Sevilla 2+ goals32.7%

By half

Both score in 1st half20.1%

Both score in 2nd half29.7%

This season (2026/27)

50.0%Levante BTTS rate
33.3%Levante clean sheets
1.3Levante goals scored per game
71.4%Sevilla BTTS rate
28.6%Sevilla clean sheets
1.4Sevilla goals scored per game

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.0%

0

16.5%

1

24.8%

2

22.1%

3

15.2%

4

13.6%

5+

In-depth analysis

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

47.3%Favoured: Levante
55.1%Both Teams to Score
51.6%Over 2.5 goals

On the goals side, the model sees 51.6% for three or more goals and 76.5% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Levante favoured at 47.3%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 55.1% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 51.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutLevante are the model’s pick on the result at 47.3%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Levante47.3%

Draw25.7%

Sevilla27.0%

The model leans Levante to win. See the full prediction →

Key players

E

Etta EyongLevante · 2.8 shots/90
To score 18.3%

A

AlfonSevilla · 2.65 shots/90
To score 13.9%

This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.

Form & head-to-head

LevanteDWDLL
SevillaLDWWL

Last 5 meetings: Levante 2 · 0 draws · Sevilla 3 · 3.8 goals/game.

Recent trends

LevanteBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5
SevillaBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Levante vs Sevilla?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 55.1% for Levante vs Sevilla.

Will Levante score against Sevilla?
The model rates Levante to score at 79.2% and Sevilla to score at 68.9%.

How often have Levante seen both teams score recently?
Levante have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Sevilla in 3 of 5.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,617Matches graded

In 26,755 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 61.8%✗ 54.5%✗ 51.3%✓ 55.8%✗ 67.4%✗ 62.0%✓ 64.5%✓ 60.1%✓ 59.0%✓ 55.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool2026-09-20Yes 61.8%Miss
Leeds vs Crystal Palace2026-09-20Yes 54.5%Miss
Manchester City vs Sunderland2026-09-20No 51.3%Miss
Fulham vs Manchester United2026-09-20Yes 55.8%Hit
Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig2026-09-20Yes 67.4%Miss

More La Liga, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

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Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.