AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 26 Oct 2026

Süper Lig
KonyasporKonyasporLWDDL
Full time2-0Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1013:00UK
GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligiLLLDL

Konyaspor 2-0 Genclerbirligi cards: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined65.2%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined34.8%

Result

Konyaspor2-0Genclerbirligi
4 yellow cardsKonyaspor 1, Genclerbirligi 3
Over 3.5

We called Over 3.5 at 65.2% and it landed (4 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 3.5 cards65.2%

Match referee

The referee's own averages across every completed match with this referee in our data. A rate needs at least 5 matches with that figure. Previous referees are never used to guess an appointment.

Oguzhan Cakir

Recorded match referee.

Oguzhan Cakir in our data
Per match All matches 2026/27
Matches 24 5
Goals 2.29 2.80
Yellow cards 3.96 4.80
Red cards 0.21 0.40
Corners 9.1 10.8
Fouls 29.0 28.4
Both teams scored 54% 40%
Over 2.5 goals 42% 60%
Home wins 33% 40%
Latest 10 matches
Date Match Score Goals BTTS Yellow Red Corners Fouls
25 Oct 2026 Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi 2-0 2 No 4 0 12 31
10 Oct 2026 Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor 0-3 3 No 2 1 14 28
20 Sep 2026 Goztep vs Rizespor 2-2 4 Yes 6 0 7 24
6 Sep 2026 Kasimpasa vs Amedspor 2-2 4 Yes 7 0 11 25
16 Aug 2026 Besiktas vs Eyupspor 1-0 1 No 5 1 10 34
9 May 2026 Besiktas vs Trabzonspor 1-2 3 Yes 3 0 9 25
3 May 2026 Karagumruk vs Genclerbirligi 1-0 1 No 4 0 7 22
25 Apr 2026 Goztep vs Antalyaspor 2-0 2 No 2 0 7 30
12 Apr 2026 Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor 1-1 2 Yes 1 0 5 28
18 Mar 2026 Eyupspor vs Trabzonspor 0-1 1 No 4 0 6 32

Oguzhan Cakir referee stats

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi. Slightly more cards are projected for Konyaspor for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 82.3% 17.7%
3.5 cards 65.2% 34.8%
4.5 cards 46.2% 53.8%
5.5 cards 29.1% 70.9%

Who picks up more cards

Konyaspor
42.4%
Level
19.5%
Genclerbirligi
38.1%

Team cards lines

Konyaspor

Over 1.5
66.7%
Over 2.5
40.2%

Genclerbirligi

Over 1.5
63.9%
Over 2.5
37.1%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Konyaspor's; Genclerbirligi gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Konyaspor line Konyaspor Genclerbirligi
-1.5 24.8% 75.2%
-0.5 42.4% 57.6%
+0.5 61.9% 38.1%
+1.5 78.6% 21.4%

Red card

Any red card10.1%
Konyaspor red card5.2%
Genclerbirligi red card5.2%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 82.5% 17.5%
22.5 fouls 70.6% 29.4%
24.5 fouls 56.4% 43.6%
KonyasporKonyaspor

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Konyaspor at home and Genclerbirligi away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligi
Statistic
Konyaspor
Genclerbirligi
Yellow cards per game
2.4
1.7

First-half yellow cards per game
1.2
0.4

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.2
1.6

Matches with card data
1
0

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 10,239 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Cards actually happened 65.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 3.5 cards at 65.2%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Line by line, the read runs from 82.3% for over 2.5 to 29.1% for over 5.5, with over 4.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.2%. On the card count, Konyaspor are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 42.4%, with a level count at 19.5%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Konyaspor over 1.5 cards sits at 66.7% and Genclerbirligi at 63.9%. A red card for either side is rated at 10.1% (Konyaspor 5.2%, Genclerbirligi 5.2%).

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

65.2%Over 3.5 cards
10.1%Any red card
42.4%Most cards: Konyaspor
66.7%Konyaspor over 1.5 cards
63.9%Genclerbirligi over 1.5 cards
70.6%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 65.2% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 10.1%, unlikely, and priced as such.
The DisciplinarianKonyaspor are the pick to collect more cards at 42.4%, the side chasing the game tends to foul more.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 4.5 cards: over sits at 46.2%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
KonyasporKonyaspor

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligi
Statistic
Konyaspor
Genclerbirligi
fouls per game
13.0
12.2

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 3.5 total cards at 65.2% for Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi.
Will there be a red card in Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi?
Before kickoff, the model rated a red card for either side at 10.1%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi?
Before kickoff, the model rated Konyaspor to pick up more cards at 42.4%, with a level count at 19.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Cards predictions today

Related

Süper LigKonyaspor fixtures and statsGenclerbirligi fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.