AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 28 Oct 2026

Süper Lig
AmedsporAmedsporWWDWW
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1110:30UK
EyupsporEyupsporLLLLL

Amedspor vs Eyupspor cards prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined66.3%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined33.7%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 3.5 cards66.3%

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Amedspor vs Eyupspor. The model leans toward Eyupspor for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 83.0% 17.0%
3.5 cards 66.3% 33.7%
4.5 cards 47.4% 52.6%
5.5 cards 30.3% 69.8%

Who picks up more cards

Amedspor
35.1%
Level
19.2%
Eyupspor
45.7%

Team cards lines

Amedspor

Over 1.5
62.5%
Over 2.5
35.6%

Eyupspor

Over 1.5
69.4%
Over 2.5
43.4%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Amedspor's; Eyupspor gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Amedspor line Amedspor Eyupspor
-1.5 19.3% 80.8%
-0.5 35.1% 64.9%
+0.5 54.3% 45.7%
+1.5 72.3% 27.7%

Red card

Any red card29.8%
Amedspor red card12.8%
Eyupspor red card19.5%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 86.4% 13.6%
22.5 fouls 76.1% 23.9%
24.5 fouls 62.9% 37.1%

Recent referees

The referees each side has met most this season, with cards per game overall and for that team. This history does not establish who officiates this match. The main match page shows a saved match referee when available.

Team Referee Games Cards/g Team cards/g
Amedspor U. Ozturk 2 5.0 3.0

Swipe to see all referee stats →

AmedsporAmedspor

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Amedspor at home and Eyupspor away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

EyupsporEyupspor
Statistic
Amedspor
Eyupspor
Yellow cards per game
3.3
1.3

First-half yellow cards per game
0.4
0.6

Second-half yellow cards per game
2.8
0.9

Matches with card data
2
4

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 10,239 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Cards actually happened 65.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 66.3%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Across the lines, the model goes from 83.0% for over 2.5 to 30.3% for over 5.5, with over 4.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.4%. Between the two sides, Eyupspor are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 45.7%, with a level count at 19.2%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Amedspor over 1.5 cards sits at 62.5% and Eyupspor at 69.4%. A red card for either side is rated at 29.8% (Amedspor 12.8%, Eyupspor 19.5%). Amedspor’s most frequent referee this season, U. Ozturk, has averaged 5.0 cards a game across 2 of their matches; the appointment for this game is not known before kickoff.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

66.3%Over 3.5 cards
29.8%Any red card
45.7%Most cards: Eyupspor
62.5%Amedspor over 1.5 cards
69.4%Eyupspor over 1.5 cards
76.1%Over 22.5 fouls

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 66.3% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Referee WatcherU. Ozturk, Amedspor’s most frequent referee this season, averages 5.0 cards a game. These historical averages do not identify this match’s referee.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 29.8%, a live risk in this one, and a red changes every card line at once.
The DisciplinarianEyupspor are the pick to collect more cards at 45.7%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
AmedsporAmedspor

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

EyupsporEyupspor
Statistic
Amedspor
Eyupspor
fouls per game
14.7
11.0

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Amedspor vs Eyupspor?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 66.3% for Amedspor vs Eyupspor.
Will there be a red card in Amedspor vs Eyupspor?
The model rates a red card for either side at 29.8%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Amedspor vs Eyupspor?
The model rates Eyupspor to pick up more cards at 45.7%, with a level count at 19.2%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Süper Lig, Cards

Konyaspor vs Galatasaray cards predictionErzurumspor vs Corum cards predictionKocaelispor vs Rizespor cards predictionFenerbahce vs Goztep cards predictionBasaksehir vs Samsunspor cards predictionTrabzonspor vs Gaziantep cards prediction

Cards predictions today

Related

Süper LigAmedspor fixtures and statsEyupspor fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.