Süper Lig
KonyasporKonyasporLWDDL
Full time2-0Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1013:00UK
GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligiLLLDL

Konyaspor 2-0 Genclerbirligi corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined54.9%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined45.1%

Result

Konyaspor2-0Genclerbirligi
12 cornersKonyaspor 9, Genclerbirligi 3
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 54.9% and it missed (12 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners45.1%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Konyaspor.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 69.5% 30.5%
8.5 corners 57.4% 42.6%
9.5 corners 45.1% 54.9%
10.5 corners 33.7% 66.3%
11.5 corners 23.9% 76.1%
12.5 corners 16.2% 83.8%

Who wins the corner count

Konyaspor
52.2%
Level
10.9%
Genclerbirligi
36.9%

Team corners lines

Konyaspor

Over 3.5
69.9%
Over 4.5
54.0%
Over 5.5
38.7%

Genclerbirligi

Over 3.5
59.4%
Over 4.5
42.2%
Over 5.5
27.7%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Konyaspor's; Genclerbirligi gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Konyaspor line Konyaspor Genclerbirligi
-1.5 41.1% 58.9%
-0.5 52.2% 47.8%
+0.5 63.1% 36.9%
+1.5 73.1% 26.9%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 45.1%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 69.5% for over 7.5 to 16.2% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.1%. Head to head on corners, Konyaspor are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.2%, with a level count at 10.9%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Konyaspor over 4.5 corners sits at 54.0% and Genclerbirligi at 42.2%. This season Konyaspor have averaged 2.2 corners won a game and Genclerbirligi 4.5.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

45.1%Over 9.5 corners
52.2%Most corners: Konyaspor
54.0%Konyaspor over 4.5 corners
42.2%Genclerbirligi over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 45.1% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderKonyaspor are the pick to win the corner count at 52.2%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 45.1%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
KonyasporKonyaspor

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

GenclerbirligiGenclerbirligi
Statistic
Konyaspor
Genclerbirligi
corners won per game
2.2
4.5

corners conceded per game
5.8
6.8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 45.1% for Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi.
Which team will win the corner count in Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi?
Before kickoff, the model rated Konyaspor to win the corner count at 52.2%, with a level count at 10.9%.
How many corners do Konyaspor and Genclerbirligi average this season?
Konyaspor have won 2.2 corners a game this season and Genclerbirligi 4.5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Süper Lig, Corners

Corner predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.