AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 2 Nov 2026

Eredivisie
HeerenveenHeerenveenWLWWW
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1111:15UK
FeyenoordFeyenoordWWWDD

Heerenveen vs Feyenoord corners prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined55.3%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined44.7%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners55.3%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Heerenveen.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 77.4% 22.6%
8.5 corners 66.9% 33.1%
9.5 corners 55.3% 44.7%
10.5 corners 43.8% 56.2%
11.5 corners 33.1% 66.9%
12.5 corners 23.9% 76.1%

Who wins the corner count

Heerenveen
50.3%
Level
9.9%
Feyenoord
39.8%

Team corners lines

Heerenveen

Over 3.5
73.1%
Over 4.5
58.5%
Over 5.5
43.8%

Feyenoord

Over 3.5
66.4%
Over 4.5
50.4%
Over 5.5
35.8%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Heerenveen's; Feyenoord gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Heerenveen line Heerenveen Feyenoord
-1.5 40.4% 59.6%
-0.5 50.3% 49.7%
+0.5 60.2% 39.8%
+1.5 69.5% 30.5%
HeerenveenHeerenveen

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Heerenveen at home and Feyenoord away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

FeyenoordFeyenoord
Statistic
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Corners won per game at this venue
5.0
5.6

Corners conceded per game at this venue
4.2
4.2

First-half corners won per game
2.3
3.6

Second-half corners won per game
2.8
2.9

Matches with more corners than the opponent
66.7%
66.7%

Matches with corner data
9
9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0096Calibration error
51,077Matches graded

In 24,084 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 52.5%✓ 50.2%✗ 50.6%✓ 56.9%✗ 50.6%✓ 53.7%✗ 51.8%✓ 62.7%✗ 61.2%✓ 61.5%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Over 9.5 52.5%Hit
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.2%Hit
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 9.5 56.9%Hit
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Under 9.5 50.6%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 55.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 77.4% for over 7.5 to 23.9% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.3%. Between the two sides, Heerenveen are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 50.3%, with a level count at 9.9%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Heerenveen over 4.5 corners sits at 58.5% and Feyenoord at 50.4%. This season Heerenveen have averaged 5.1 corners won a game and Feyenoord 6.4.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

55.3%Over 9.5 corners
50.3%Most corners: Heerenveen
58.5%Heerenveen over 4.5 corners
50.4%Feyenoord over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 55.3% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderHeerenveen are the pick to win the corner count at 50.3%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 55.3%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
HeerenveenHeerenveen

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

FeyenoordFeyenoord
Statistic
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
corners won per game
5.1
6.4

corners conceded per game
4.9
4.3

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 55.3% for Heerenveen vs Feyenoord.
Which team will win the corner count in Heerenveen vs Feyenoord?
The model rates Heerenveen to win the corner count at 50.3%, with a level count at 9.9%.
How many corners do Heerenveen and Feyenoord average this season?
Heerenveen have won 5.1 corners a game this season and Feyenoord 6.4.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Eredivisie, Corners

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle corners predictionFortuna Sittard vs Telstar corners predictionDen Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam corners predictionExcelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles corners predictionTwente vs Ajax corners predictionAZ Alkmaar vs Groningen corners prediction

Corner predictions today

Related

EredivisieHeerenveen fixtures and statsFeyenoord fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.